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Home/Archive/Killarney — 22 August 2026

Killarney — 22 August 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

8 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 3

13:25 ML Lynch Civil Engineering Ltd. Maiden Hurdle (Div I)

Placed

2m100y · Good · 19 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Reaching High (5/4)

Won by: Minella Hollow (IRE) at 11/2 · then Reaching High (IRE), Kingstonian (GB)

What we said: Reaching High is a warm order under a claimer-beating stable but the formline shows him last of 20 on his most recent start and he's already had one break of 60d+ that this system flags as a mild negative, which is thin ground for a 5/4 shot in a 19-runner maiden; Minella Hollow, Penny Express and Kingstonian all have credible but unremarkable claims of their own, and with the market drifting on almost every other runner there's no single case here worth backing with real money.

14:00 ML Lynch Civil Engineering Ltd. Maiden Hurdle (Div II)

We named the winner

2m100y · Good · 18 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Golden Handshake (6/4)

Won by: Golden Handshake (GB) at 10/11F · then Certosa (IRE), Approval (GB)

What we said: Golden Handshake heads the market as a well-related sort but unseated last time out and has never raced on genuine good ground in seven starts, which is exactly today's test, while Sea Eagle and Ealu Tapa both drifted markedly overnight despite solid recent placed form, and Cast A Cold Eye's Mullins yard form doesn't extend to a standout case at the trip. With five or six runners carrying live claims in an 18-runner maiden and no single horse separating itself on today's ground and trip, this is a race to watch rather than back.

14:35 Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle

Did not win

2m4f50y · Good · 19 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Deise Crystal (13/2)

Won by: Pure Logic (GB) at 10/1 · then Laligurash (IRE), Maxicourt (IRE)

What we said: Nineteen runners in a handicap hurdle is exactly the field size this system loses in, and no horse isolates itself from the pack: Deise Crystal and Maxicourt both sit at the top of the fair-price range on solid recent placed form, but with that many rivals sharing similar profiles at similar odds there's no single case worth backing. Coup d'Essay's steam and Uptaurintop's drift cancel out as signals rather than build a case, and the layers of claimers and lightly-raced sorts add too much unpredictability to trust one selection.

15:10 Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle

Did not win

2m6f80y · Good · 14 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Duke Silver (9/2)

Won by: Londonofficecallin (IRE) at 8/1 · then Jupiter Du Gite (FR), Magnor Glory (IRE)

What we said: A 14-runner handicap hurdle with too many live claims to isolate one: Duke Silver carries most weight after an unseated-rider run last time, Jupiter Du Gite has never raced on good ground in 17 starts despite being the speed of the pace map, and Rebel Budz returns from 231 days off with the same going question mark. Layer in Jazzy Matty's poor record fresh (0-7 after long absences) and this shapes as a race where the card, not the punter, should sit it out.

15:45 Moynihan Scaffolding Ltd. And The Warehouse Café Beginners Steeplechase

We named the winner

2m1f · Good · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Daddy Long Legs (15/8)

Won by: Daddy Long Legs (FR) at 13/8F · then Putapoundinthejar (IRE)

What we said: Three runners have live claims and none clears the bar: Daddy Long Legs carries the biggest form figure but is stepping up five furlongs in trip from a yielding 12f run, Bowensonfire arrives fresh off a solid second at a very similar trip and going, and Putapoundinthejar won last time out over today's trip with a spotless jumping record — all three sit close to their own fair prices with nothing decisive separating them. Kilgame's fitness after 107 days, a ground record with no run on good, and last-time unseating rule him out despite the class figure.

16:20 Old Market Lane Traders Novice Steeplechase

We named the winner

2m7f80y · Good · 5 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Butch Cassidy (6/4)

Won by: Butch Cassidy (IRE) at 1/2F

What we said: Butch Cassidy looks the true form horse on his facile last-time win, but he's off 105 days, has never raced on genuine good ground in nine runs, and carries a proven negative fresh-off-a-break pattern, all stacking against him at a short price; Uncle Pat has a tidy profile with the drop back in trip but his solid runs (2-2-1) are undercut by a flat effort last time and he offers no more than his fair number suggests. With Yoradreamer and Emily Love both carrying question marks of their own (patchy recent form, a fall in the piece for the mare), nothing in this five-runner novice chase clears the bar for me at the price on offer.

16:55 Canella Lane Handicap Steeplechase (Listed)

Did not win

Class 1 · 2m4f180y · Good · 12 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Boston Rover (4/1)

Won by: Jalila Moriviere (FR) at 9/4F · then She's A Fine Wine (IRE), West Away (IRE)

What we said: Too many at fair, none clear: Jalila Moriviere (Mullins, big-race manners but only 9th of 20 last time), Boston Rover (three wins earlier in the campaign but pulled up then 5th since, now cut back in trip with market money following), She's A Fine Wine (stepping up sharply in trip after a subdued run over much shorter) and Rexem (course winner fresh off a last-time success) all have live cases in a competitive 12-runner Listed handicap, and nothing separates them cleanly at the prices on offer.

17:30 Laurels Pub (Pro/Am) Flat Race

Did not win

2m100y · Good · 9 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Farney Bridge (9/1)

Won by: Teofil (IRE) at 8/11F · then Rokanako (IRE), Emergency Man (IRE)

What we said: Won last time out at Killarney over this exact 17f trip on good ground, and his going/course/distance lines all read "1" — a rare clean sweep for a horse matching the market leader's 104 rating. Fresh at 37 days since that win, drop in class of opposition here, and the 7lb claim from Ms Connolly keeps him nicely weighted.

Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record