Wednesday 5 August · A verdict on every race, published at 8am UK time before the first off
Preview tomorrow's provisional picks →See today's real draw bias, course by course →Ranked by the AI's conviction, then by race time — frozen at this morning's publish, so picks, order and confidence stay fixed all day; only results update live.
Board picks
Sligo · Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden · Win · 1pt
Kempton · Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) · Win · 1pt
Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Not bets · 15 more the AI read
The model named a horse in each of these but didn't back it. Either the price sat outside what we'll take, or the conviction wasn't there. None of them count in our record. Shown because the read is still worth having. Won/Placed/Lost badges below only describe how the horse ran.
Brighton · Jenningsbet Over 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap Stakes · Win
Brighton · Jenningsbet In Deal Classified Stakes · Win
Pontefract · Jayne - On Course Lady Bookmaker Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race) · Win
Brighton · Sapporo Japanese Premium Lager Brighton Mile Challenge Handicap Stakes (For The Brighton Mile Challenge Trophy) · Win
Pontefract · Riu Hotels And Resorts Ladies Day Veterans' Handicap Stakes · Win
Brighton · Monty Bennetts 18th Birthday Handicap Stakes · Win
Pontefract · Fbs Chartered Accountants Chaplins Club Handicap Stakes · Win
Kempton · Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap Stakes · Win
Yarmouth · Gold & Silver Exchange Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes · Win
Sligo · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Connacht Oaks Fillies Handicap · Win
Yarmouth · Strawberry Fields Stud Nursery Handicap Stakes · Win
Yarmouth · Origin Amenity Solutions Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) · Win
Kempton · Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · Win
Kempton · Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (Div II) (gbb/gbbplus Race) · Win
Every race we read and passed, with the horse we would have named and why we left it alone. Kept on the page because a tipster who only shows you the bets is showing you half the record. Tap a horse for the full read.
| Time | Silks | Our call | Race | Why we passed | Result | Calls won | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:45 | Sunny Orange | Pontefract, Honda Wakefield Super-n Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes | Sunny Orange heads the market on the strength of a string of in-the-money finishes but hasn't found the winner's enclosure in this sequence, and Star Start, Max Of Stars and Glitter Code all carry legitimate claims of their own with little to split them on official ratings or recent form; with four runners bunched on ability in a seven-runner amateur handicap there's no horse I can isolate with real conviction. The first-time blinkers on Glitter Code and the steam into Max Of Stars are both noted but neither tips the balance decisively enough to build a case around. | — | 31% of 621 | 9/4 | |
| 16:30 | Havana Mojito | Brighton, Jenningsbet "we Love Brighton Racecourse" 'confined' Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Won A Race In 2026) | Havana Mojito looks the one to beat on true form (452222, working into a race nicely) but he's drawn 8 of 9 against a draw bias that favours the inside, and his sire's stamp for fast ground sits awkwardly with rain forecast to soften this "Good to Firm" surface — too many question marks to take odds-on about a Class 6 sprinter. Behind him it's scrappy: Viking Glory is drifting into first-time cheekpieces, which reads more like a worry than an angle, and King Cherry's favourable draw and going-suited pedigree are offset by only modest recent form. | — | 31% of 621 | 6/4 | |
| 16:45 | The Good Biscuit | Pontefract, Bet With Jayne - Your Local Bookmaker Handicap Stakes | Reruns named different horses | — | 10% of 67 | 4/1 | |
| 17:00 | Kento | Brighton, Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Brighton Summer Sprint Series Qualifier) | Kento sits fairly and squarely as the best of a moderate seven, with the sort of consistent frame-hitting form (351233) that makes him the obvious favourite, but nothing here separates him enough from Secret Handsheikh's course form or Faustus's first-time blinkers and improving profile to make backing the market leader at 2/1 anything more than following the crowd; the softening going is also a genuine question mark for the Mayson-sired pair. | — | 31% of 621 | 2/1 | |
| 17:15 | Division Day | Pontefract, Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) | A three-horse affair where the market has essentially got it right: Something's rock-steady placing form (831232) makes him solid without being spectacular, Division Day has bounced back to form and a leading yard clearly fancies the first-time cheekpieces given the market move, but that intent is already fully priced into 11/10, and Anzac Day carries a real going question with his sire's fast-ground weakness on Good To Firm. None of the three offers a gap between what I'd rate them and what the price demands, and with poor recent trainer form (4% last 14 days) clouding Division Day's steam, there's no clean read here worth backing with real money. | — | 31% of 621 | 11/10 | |
| 17:30 | Taj Crown | Sligo, Carlsberg Optional Claiming Race | Sixteen runners with market money moving all over the shop (Concert Party, Dark Summit, Miss Australie, Borora Aura, Mullacurry Maid and Money Shuffler all shortened sharply) makes for a genuinely muddled market, and Taj Crown's consistent placing form is undercut by a trainer completely out of form both generally and specifically at this course. Too many moving parts — fitness question marks on Capital Theory and Princess Rosie, first-time headgear on two others, steamers with little form to back them up — for one horse to stand clear of the pack. | — | 31% of 621 | 3/1 | |
| 17:50 | Chymbulak | Kempton, Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race) | Chymbulak sits favourite off a purely market-driven case with no running form to read, Roger Varian's yard is in form but that's already baked into 13/8, and Ahmadi, Off The Peg and the rest are similarly form-blank or carry angles (Minzaal Time's steam, the going flags) that don't stack into a genuine edge at their prices. With this many first-time or lightly-raced types and nothing separating the top two on substance, it's a race to watch rather than back. | — | 31% of 621 | 13/8 | |
| 18:10 | Speed of Sound | Yarmouth, British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race) | Speed of Sound sits on top of the market for good reason, with solid placed form fresh from just 12 days ago and a yard/jockey combo that reads well at this course, but at evens there's nothing left in it for me once you strip the bookmaker's cut, and none of Pure Majesty, Babzini or Minkaas offer a case strong enough to look past the favourite. This is a wide-open maiden field with plenty of unexposed types (Pensando A Te has no form line at all) and no angle that isolates a price worth taking. | — | 31% of 621 | evn | |
| 18:20 | Ghost Raider | Kempton, Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB Race) | this is a debut-laden two-year-old maiden with six runners showing no form line at all, so there's no way to separate Ghost Raider's fancied first-time-out profile from Fulcrum, Montalbano or Dover Street on anything but market position; Clive The Writer's only piece of form is a modest 7th, which argues against rather than for him at 3/1. With the two biggest drifters (Great Plains, Moda Rosa) already signalling market rejection and no proven angle elsewhere, there's nothing here worth staking on. | — | 31% of 621 | 11/4 | |
| 18:50 | Najidi Storm | Kempton, Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | Too many key form lines are question marks here: Gavriel, Black Chiffon and Kaindy are all leading fancies returning from layoffs of 271-343 days with no recent racecourse proof of fitness, while market favourite Najidi Storm steps up from an unraced state on ground that doesn't obviously suit his fast-ground pedigree. With three of the top four in the market carrying real fitness or experience doubts and nothing separating them cleanly on what we can see, this is a coin-flip among unknowns rather than a bet. | — | 31% of 621 | 5/2 | |
| 19:00 | Mr Montauk | Sligo, John Gilligan Memorial Nursery Handicap | Mr Montauk sets a short standard at 6/4 with the best trainer-course combo in the race, but Hi Corbett Court's market move and higher speed figure make this a genuine two-horse dispute in a 13-runner nursery, and neither can be isolated cleanly enough to back at the price on offer. Add three first-time headgear runners and a stack of lightly-exposed types with scrappy form (Fine Line, No Time Faults, Stellar Path) and the depth of plausible improvers makes this exactly the crowded juvenile handicap that chews up single-horse convictions. | — | 31% of 621 | 6/4 | |
| 19:30 | Glen Breeze | Sligo, Baader - Eddie Carr PBR 2000 Handicap | Fourteen runners and a cluttered handicap where Glen Breeze, Dubai Opulence and She's On The Ball all arrive with legitimate but unremarkable claims, none of them separated cleanly by the form book or the market, and stacking three near-fair prices against each other in a race this size isn't a bet worth making. Add in first-time headgear on three no-hopers and a return from 334 days for Quinn's Charm, and the noise outweighs the signal here. | — | 31% of 621 | 4/1 | |
| 19:40 | Highland Harvey | Yarmouth, Brandfords Restaurant & Bars Handicap Stakes | Highland Harvey's steam move and last-time win catch the eye, but a going-preference flag on the dam's side is a real worry on this quick surface, and that's not a case I can back at 2/1 with conviction; Le Rouge Chinois and Fornido both carry four-month layoffs with fitness unknown, while Urban Warrior is drifting despite a solid run of places. Too many caveats attached to every runner in a small, messy handicap for me to put money down. | — | 31% of 621 | 2/1 | |
| 20:10 | Banana | Yarmouth, Bet Central Classified Stakes | Reruns named different horses | — | 10% of 67 | 13/8 | |
| 20:20 | Jumeirah Sands | Kempton, Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes | Too many live threads pulling in different directions: Jumeirah Sands carries the top rating and a string of 1-1-2 finishes into this, Victory Ace and Doodling both arrive fresh off wins last time out, and Angel Gabriel has been backed hard into 5/1 despite a moderate recent effort, so there's no single case that clears the others at the price on offer. With four or more runners boasting a genuine, defensible claim and nothing separating them cleanly in the form book, this is a spread-the-field handicap rather than a one-horse read. | — | 31% of 621 | 9/2 | |
| 20:30 | Deluca Chop | Sligo, Rockshore Cider Handicap | Seventeen runners in a competitive handicap is exactly the kind of race that chews up a stake, and nothing here forces the issue: Deluca Chop's 233211 sequence is the standout form line but he's already respected in the market at 5/1, Without Love is only fractionally more solid without ever pulling clear, and three fitness-unknown returners plus three first-time headgear runners add real uncertainty on top of a field this size. With no draw bias to lean on and no single price that looks out of step with what I actually believe, there's no bet here I'd back with my own money. | — | 31% of 621 | 5/1 |
“Calls won” is the record of our most-likely-winner calls on passed races, scored against those horses’ own market prices. It is a separate record from the bets, and a weaker one: across every passed race the call wins at roughly the rate its price already implied. How we measure.
The most likely winner of every race today — a different question from the picks above, which ask where a price looks wrong. A horse can be the likeliest winner and still be no bet at its price, so these are opinions, not selections, and they are not staked or counted in the track record.
