16:56 Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Irish EBF Fillies Maiden
We named the winner0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 15 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: So Lovely (4/7)
Won by: So Lovely (USA) at 2/5F · then Zenith Blaze (GB), Isle Of Capri (IRE), Villaray (IRE)
What we said: Second on debut over this exact course, distance and going just 21 days ago, and that experience over inexperienced rivals in a maiden this size is a real edge. The Wootton Bassett sire line handles good-to-firm well, and A P O'Brien/Wayne Lordan have the form and firepower to fill in the gap from debut runner-up to winner. This looks the swiftest route to sorting a genuinely messy 15-runner maiden where most others are stepping into the unknown.
17:27 Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden
We named the winner0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 16 ran
Our bet: Banks Of The Boyne (13/8)
Won by: Banks Of The Boyne (IRE) at 9/4F · then Sovreigns Joy (GB), The Green Helmet (IRE)
What we said: Consistent form figures 80224 with a clear second at the trip already, and the quick 4-day turnaround suggests a yard happy with how he's going rather than a concern given the pattern of runs. He's shown early pace (H tag but fastest into the race of the two measured) and looks the most solid two-year-old in a race full of maiden also-rans with poor or no form.
18:00 Unio Employee Benefits Handicap
Did not win0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 21 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Faoladh (15/2)
Won by: Naoi (IRE) at 20/1 · then Free Solo (IRE), Ninth Crusade (IRE)
What we said: Twenty-one runners in a wide-open handicap with too many needle-in-a-haystack claims: Faoladh arrives having won last time out with solid course and distance experience, but Zheleznaya Dama also scored last start and Bear Right has hit the frame in five of six starts without the deciding good-firm form to separate her; no single horse stands clear of that pack at a price worth backing. Several fancied runners (Rappell, La La Lucrative, All Hail, Ballymagreehan, Zheleznaya Dama, Brains) are also drifting into the market, muddying the confidence picture further.
18:30 Bet With Tote On Racing & Sports Irish EBF Vinnie Roe Stakes (Listed)
Did not winClass 1 · 1m6f0y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
Our bet: Abbotsford (3/1)
Won by: Highwayman (FR) at 22/1 · then Cannes (IRE), Piazza San Marco (USA)
What we said: Comes into this on the back of a dominant last-time-out win over 12f and steps up in trip for a yard, Dermot Weld, that knows how to place these; crucially he's by Frankel, and that sire's stock are built for fast ground exactly like today's Good to Firm, a fit none of the market rivals can claim. He's shown a clear upward trajectory in form and the step to 1m6f looks a natural progression rather than a stretch.
19:00 Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap
We named the winner1m5f0y · Good To Firm · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Ben Hur (3/1)
Won by: Ben Hur (IRE) at 7/4F · then Cooley's Mist (IRE), Pavilion End (GB)
What we said: Ben Hur heads the market off a solid recent third but has never raced on today's firm ground in seven starts, and the same going question shadows Pavilion End (no run on good-to-firm in nineteen), Lauderdale King (none in five, plus a 69-day break) and even Darius Dark despite his sire's fast-ground pedigree; too many live contenders with a genuine surface doubt to single one out at these prices.
19:30 Leopardstown Golf, Padel & Range Maiden
Placed1m0f0y · Good To Firm · 14 ran
Our bet: Goddess Of War (7/4)
Won by: Uncle Goalie (IRE) at 11/4 · then My Shayla (IRE), Goddess Of War (SAF)
What we said: Dropping back from 9.5f to 8f after finishing 4th of 7 last time out for Mrs John Harrington, she looks the one with the clearest form profile in a scattered 14-runner maiden and the good-to-firm ground is no concern given her recent good-ground run. Shane Foley takes over and her only defeat came in a race that looks solid on paper, giving her the strongest claim to actually win rather than just make up numbers.
20:00 Dublin To Bahrain Fillies Handicap
Did not win1m0f0y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Duchess Of Kenli (12/5)
Won by: Tachos (IRE) at 3/1F · then Thrifty Of Digby (IRE), Bella Colombia (IRE)
What we said: Duchess Of Kenli's smashing last-time win is the standout form line but she's never raced on ground firmer than good and today's forecast holds firm, while Bella Colombia (352311, dropping back in trip fresh off a course win) and the fast-ground-bred Thrifty Of Digby (habitual pace-tracker, quickest away of the pace-rated runners) both have legitimate claims of their own — too many live threads to single one out at the prices on offer.
