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Home/Archive/Roscommon — 18 August 2026

Roscommon — 18 August 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

7 races · we bet 2 · we named the winner in 0

17:10 QuinnBet Apprentice Optional Claiming Race

Placed

1m2f94y · Good · 11 ran

Our bet: She's Ideal (9/4)

Won by: Hexagonal (IRE) at 4/1 · then Kakori (IRE), She's Ideal (IRE)

What we said: Two course-and-distance wins on the bounce, the latest by a promising margin at 9.5f good-to-firm, and today's step back to good ground with a similar trip looks squarely within her comfort zone. The 2lb claim and consistent recent placing (387711) suggest she's still leaving room for one more forward step.

17:45 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

Placed

0m7f111y · Good · 12 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Eighteenth Smiles (9/2)

Won by: Cashel Queen (IRE) at 4/1 · then Luca Brillante (IRE), Eighteenth Smiles (IRE)

What we said: This is a scrambled maiden with too many live threads to isolate one: Eighteenth Smiles carries the best form on paper (55503, proven at today's trip and going) but is drifting and flagged bookie-above-exchange, Captain James Cook has been steamed in hard off a single run with no course jockey form to back it up, Cashel Queen's 3-2-4 profile over three runs is the most progressive form in the field, and Prince Of Peppard adds first-time cheekpieces and a going-suited pedigree on top of a workmanlike 96 line — none of them clears the bar at its price and nothing here separates cleanly.

18:15 Irish EBF Auction Series Race

Placed

0m7f111y · Good · 9 ran

Our bet: Seven Nation Army (4/1)

Won by: Emotional Hedging (IRE) at 15/2 · then Seven Nation Army (GER), Oristown Boy (IRE)

What we said: Improving on every start (88621) with a course win last time and the strongest conditions figures in the field, dist 81 and going 88 both well clear of what the market-leading Green Dreamer shows (51/51), plus the highest PR figure (82) of any runner here. The step up in trip suits its profile and the ground swing to good matches its best recorded going form, making this the standout case at a price that still pays more than I make it.

18:45 SIS Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Maiden

Did not win

0m7f111y · Good · 18 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Almeiyda (11/4)

Won by: Save The Sixes (IRE) at 16/1 · then Divine Legend (IRE), Dandymaria (IRE)

What we said: Almeiyda, Flower Forest and Stooked all sit within a whisker of each other on form and price, with Almeiyda's solid dist figures (0422 across four runs) matched by Stooked's improving 22-2 form and Flower Forest's fair placed effort before a 136-day break, and nothing in the card cleanly separates the three at these prices. Add an 18-runner maiden field where several unraced or lightly-raced fillies (Brise Fraiche, C'est Comme Ca, Gentle Soda) could easily improve, and this is exactly the multi-way puzzle that isn't worth backing into.

19:15 WTW Willis Handicap

Did not win

7f111y · Good · 18 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Contrary To Law (4/1)

Won by: Sagasti (IRE) at 28/1 · then Cool Azul (IRE), Thenandnow (IRE)

What we said: Eighteen runners in a competitive handicap is too many bodies for one case to clear the bar, with Contrary To Law, Cool Azul, Earls and Dragon Of Malta all carrying live but overlapping form claims and nothing separating them cleanly at the prices; Cool Azul's first-time cheekpieces and step up in trip is an interesting angle but unproven, and a market steamer like Dragon Of Malta tells you money has moved, not that the horse wins.

19:45 District Speciality Coffee Maiden

Placed

1m4f48y · Good · 16 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Almazann (9/4)

Won by: Magnum Cor (IRE) at 1/1F · then Almazann (IRE), Possum (IRE)

What we said: Sixteen runners and this maiden splits three ways: Magnum Cor is unproven stepping up nearly 3f having only managed 4th last time, Almazann's pair of solid seconds and matching trip/ground come with a mild caution for the 100-day gap, and Sunny South West's yielding form doesn't confirm on this quicker surface, so nothing separates cleanly enough at the prices on offer. With this many types of unknowns stacked in one race — first-time headgear, big layoffs, unraced-at-trip runners — it's a pass rather than a guess dressed up as conviction.

20:15 Class Grass Handicap

Did not win

1m4f48y · Good · 18 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Catherine Magennis (6/1)

Won by: Fianna (IRE) at 14/1 · then Lady Plimsoll (IRE), Summer Snow (IRE), Yquem (IRE)

What we said: Eighteen runners in a wide-open handicap where at least three (Catherine Magennis, Coulstys Way, Lady Plimsoll) carry plausible recent form and none stands clearly apart from the others; Coulstys Way's last-start unseated rider muddies her claim, Lady Plimsoll is drifting in the market, and Catherine Magennis is stepping up in trip class off a light campaign, so nothing isolates itself as the one to trust with money down. Fields this size are precisely the type built to spread the result, and no single case here clears that bar.

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