Ascot — 11 July 2026

Class 2 · 5f · Good To Firm · 15 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Behike (4/1)

Won by: Dubai Bling (IRE) at 12/1 · then Behike (IRE), Fandom (GB)

What we said: 16-runner Ascot 5f handicap; draw bias narrows contenders to 6 high-drawn horses (Behike, Ancient State, Trefor, Schrodinger's Cat, Regal Envoy, Mesaafi) but 3+ of those still have genuine claims, so no single angle isolates a winner

Class 1 · 7f213y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: More Thunder (6/5)

Won by: Zeus Olympios (GB) at 7/2 · then Holloway Boy (GB), Seagulls Eleven (IRE)

What we said: Stacked Group 2 mile with 5+ legit contenders (More Thunder, Docklands, Zeus Olympios, No Lunch, Holloway Boy) and every runner's price sits at or inside its fair%, so no overlay exists anywhere in the field

Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Rising Tiger (19/10)

Won by: Dr Rascal (GB) at 4/1 · then Rising Tiger (IRE), Mia Fantasia (IRE)

What we said: four legitimate contenders (Dr Rascal, Mia Fantasia, National Pride, Rising Tiger) with no clear price overlay flagged, rest of field are market drifters

Class 3 · 1m6f34y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Divine Knight (9/4)

Won by: Galilean Quality (IRE) · then Fireblade (GB)

What we said: 6-runner competitive handicap where prices already track fair odds closely and 3+ horses (Anniversary, Fireblade, Divine Knight, Galilean Quality) have legitimate overlapping claims

Class 2 · 1m3f211y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Tycoon (7/2)

Won by: Tryfan (GB) at 22/1 · then Blue Hercules (IRE), Tycoon (GB)

What we said: Class 2 handicap with 4+ legitimate claims (Nightime Dancer, Ernst Blofeld, Tycoon, Nesthorn), RP itself flags low confidence, no bookie-overlay value on any of the leading contenders

Class 3 · 1m · Good To Firm · 9 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Rosa Inglesa (5/2)

Won by: Rosa Inglesa (GB) · then Hot And Cold (GB), Blingy's Sister (IRE)

What we said: Four+ fillies (Blingy's Sister, Rosa Inglesa, Thaluna, Nanino Niyati) all have legitimate claims and no price offers value against its fair%

Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 17 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Havana Blue (17/2)

Won by: Lunario (IRE) at 33/1 · then Havana Blue (GB), Luansobe (GB), Cancan In The Rain (IRE)

What we said: 18-runner Class 4 handicap with 4+ horses rated 84 on RP figures (Havana Blue, Cancan In The Rain, Arantes Nascimento, Documenting) and no standout draw/pace angle