What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
6 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 2 · results held for 3
Class 3 · 0m6f0y · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Sorrengail (evn)
What we said: three legitimate contenders (Sorrengail favourite w/ strong T+J combo, Ash Tree fresh off a win, Blue Flight steaming) with no runner clearly overpriced against my read
Class 1 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Alfred Wallace (7/2)
What we said: Listed 2yo race with three market leaders (Alfred Wallace, Silver Dominion, Sonny Parvenue) tightly grouped on both form figures and price, no standout value case
Class 3 · 1m7f209y · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Kirchner (13/8)
What we said: 4-runner race but form/ratings dead-level between Kirchner, Fireblade and Synergism with no price offering value against my read
Class 2 · 1m3f211y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Al Azd (5/4)
Won by: Al Azd (IRE) at 2/1F · then Study Of Words (IRE), Merveilleux Lapin (IRE)
What we said: short 5/4 favourite (Al Azd) is well fancied but RP's own form study rates him only 6th of 9, while the top-rated horse (Theory Of Tides) offers no real price edge; no clean value angle in a genuinely competitive 9-runner handicap
Class 4 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Mr Writer (5/2)
Won by: Tex (FR) at 12/1 · then Havana Blue (GB), Gallant (FR)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 4 · 0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Killavia (11/2)
Won by: Killavia (GB) at 13/2 · then Lara Antipova (GB), Dandy Magic (IRE)
What we said: 9-runner fillies' handicap with 5 legitimate contenders (Lady Roxby, Killavia, Paradise Walk, Lara Antipova, Desert Treasure) and no price that clearly compensates for the crowd
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
