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Home/Archive/Ayr — 19 June 2026

Ayr — 19 June 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

7 races · we bet 6 · we named the winner in 3

17:30 Magners Original Cider Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Did not win

Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 8 ran

Our bet: Stoneacre Joe (13/8)

Won by: Thistle Nil (IRE) at 200/1 · then Star With Purpose (GB), Brash (IRE)

What we said: Easterby sprinting specialist, proven form figures, draw disadvantage offset by class edge over field

18:00 AU Signature Handicap

We named the winner

Class 6 · 1m2f · Good To Soft · 9 ran

Our bet: Fans Favourite (6/4)

Won by: Fans Favourite (GB) · then Shifter (GB), Off Spin (IRE)

What we said: recent form shows a win and third, cheekpieces retained, Palmer yard worth following when well-backed, and damsire Sea The Stars excels on today's Good To Soft

18:40 Millar Callaghan Engineering Handicap

Did not win

Class 5 · 7f50y · Good To Soft · 8 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Al Muqdad

Won by: The Gay Blade (GB) at 17/2 · then Glorious Kitty (IRE), Ashen (IRE)

What we said: O'Meara/Tudhope... wait, David Nolan rides, but O'Meara targets these handicaps, cheekpieces applied, drawn 1 on a track where low draws can control pace over 7f, and OR68 looks workable off this mark

19:17 Tennent's Lager Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

We named the winner

Class 4 · 1m2f · Good To Soft · 10 ran

Our bet: Star Cast (13/8)

Won by: Star Cast (GB) · then Mr Lincoln (GB), Pol Roger (IRE)

What we said: six-day turnaround after consecutive wins, top recent form (311321), light weight vs Obito, and Gemma Tutty's 5% trainer strike rate masks a horse clearly in career-best form right now

19:52 Outcider Handicap

Did not win

Class 6 · 1m · Good To Soft · 9 ran

Our bet: Approaching Dawn (3/1)

Won by: Hunterian (IRE) · then Rory's Gold (IRE), Flying Moonlight (IRE)

What we said: winner last time out, low OR46 gives weight advantage over top weights, Jim Goldie 17% in-form, and draw 9 suits prominent runners on a flat mile

20:25 Mills Milk Scotland Handicap

We named the winner

Class 6 · 1m7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran

Our bet: Gallus Norman (4/1)

Won by: Gallus Norman (GB) at 7/2 · then La Tosca (GB), Ebony Maw (GB)

What we said: consistent form figures, Jim Goldie firing at 17% in 14d, ideal 1m7f trip on good-to-soft, and top weight Laravie quick-returning after just 1 day is a major fitness red flag at prohibitive odds

21:00 Good Luck Scotland Classified Stakes

Placed

Class 6 · 1m5f26y · Good To Soft · 9 ran

Our bet: Nala The Lioness (11/4)

Won by: Is She Now (IRE) at 10/3 · then Nala The Lioness (GB), Late Claim (FR)

What we said: damsire Fastnet Rock thrives on Good To Soft, trainer flying at 27% over 14 days, and the 11d return shows live fitness with an a/e of 1.83 at course

Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record