What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
Class 3 · 0m7f50y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: March Lilly (7/2)
Won by: Bymiddaytomorrow (IRE) at 9/4 · then Kanzi (GB)
What we said: improving on 2nd career start with a solid runner-up form line, drawn well in stall 2, and priced bigger than her fair% of 21% relative to Little Lady Karen's short favouritism
Class 6 · 0m6f0y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Mr Cool (10/3)
Won by: Mr Cool (IRE) at 7/2 · then Great Profit (IRE), Lanarra (IRE)
What we said: competitive 9-runner Class 6 handicap with 4-5 horses (Mr Cool, Kelpie Grey, Water Of Leith, Great Profit, Cotai Starlight) all showing plausible but unconvincing form, none priced clearly wrong against fair%
Class 4 · 0m7f50y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Native Honey (9/2)
Won by: Imperial Guard (IRE) at 13/8F · then Abduction (FR)
What we said: Won last time out, sits on a solid speed figure (74) and fair market price, one of few in this field with genuine current form.
Class 6 · 1m0f0y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Runninsonofagun (6/4)
Won by: Samra Star (IRE) at 25/1 · then Runninsonofagun (IRE), Union Island (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 4 · 1m2f0y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Pearl Eye (5/2)
Won by: Empirical (IRE) at 5/2 · then Colourband (IRE)
What we said: Now the highest-rated runner left in the field (PR 87) with strong recent form (341361) and fresh off a 14-day turnaround, yet still drifts to 5/2 behind a modestly-rated favourite carrying first-time blinkers
Class 6 · 0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Doon The Glen (4/1)
Won by: Sixcor (GB) at 11/1 · then Startling (GB), Henery Hawk (GB)
What we said: Won last time out and six starts back, fit and in-form with course-specialist trainer, priced a shade over what his current form deserves
Class 6 · 1m2f0y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Falcon Nine (9/2)
Won by: Royal Blaze (GB) at 3/1F · then Falcon Nine (GB), Penelope's Sister (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
