What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
1m1f135y · Good To Yielding · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Minaun View (5/4)
Won by: She's Ideal (IRE) at 13/2 · then Minaun View (GB), Battling Siki (IRE)
What we said: 9-runner claimer with a short well-backed favourite (Minaun View) but no price-vs-read edge, plus 4 clustered contenders (Battling Siki, Jr Mahon, Kashel Spring, Concert Party) with legitimate claims
1m1f135y · Good To Yielding · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Taj Crown (5/4)
Won by: Guinelot (FR) at 9/2 · then Taj Crown (IRE), Contrite (GB)
What we said: Two market leaders (Taj Crown 38% fair, Contrite 26% fair) dominate but each has flaws (Taj Crown's price offers no value at odds-on, Contrite is a 78-day absentee); no runner's price clearly misprices against my read
1m1f135y · Good To Yielding · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Connova (11/10)
Won by: Nephin Mountain (IRE) at 11/2 · then Aquilla Star (IRE), Connova (IRE)
What we said: favourite Connova is clearly best on figures but at 11/10 there's no price value, and 3+ others (Divine Believer, Aquilla Star, Nephin Mountain) have plausible claims in a competitive 9-runner handicap
1m1f135y · Good To Yielding · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Elusive Duke (11/4)
Won by: Lady Arwen (GB) at 10/1 · then Elusive Duke (IRE), Nibras Rainbow (IRE)
What we said: 12-runner competitive handicap with 4+ clustered contenders (Loingseoir, Bucaneer's Spirit, Elusive Duke, Miss Crinshawn, Nibras Rainbow) and no runner priced clearly against my read; several also carry poor T+J combos or bookie-above-exchange flags
1m4f179y · Good To Yielding · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Truth Be Told (5/2)
Won by: War Rooms (IRE) at 4/1 · then Truth Be Told (IRE), Sea Coral (FR)
What we said: tightly-rated 10-runner handicap with 5+ legitimate contenders (Truth Be Told, War Rooms, Londonofficecallin, Pillar Of Hope, Daboya) and no runner priced clearly above its fair%, per Racing Post's own low-confidence read
1m4f179y · Good To Yielding · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Masego (5/4)
Won by: Reflectionist (FR) at 50/1 · then Wingit (IRE), Masego (IRE)
What we said: competitive 11-runner handicap; market has correctly concentrated on Masego but trainer is 0/28 in 14 days and no other runner offers value against fair%
1m4f179y · Good To Yielding · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Nuit (8/13)
Won by: Nuit (IRE) at 8/11F · then Pampar Lady (IRE), Catherine Magennis (IRE)
What we said: Nuit is a clear best-form standout (302-44, strong yard/jockey) but her 8/13 price is shorter than her own fair odds (14/15), so there's no value backing an odds-on favourite priced worse than fair; rest of the field is longshots with no case
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
