14:15 Macan At Porsche Centre Hull EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
We named the winnerClass 5 · 0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 14 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Lexington Boom (4/1)
Won by: Lexington Boom (GB) at 3/1 · then Mubehir (IRE), Spectacular Diver (IRE)
What we said: Drawn 12, right in the strongly favoured high berths on this stiff-climbing 5f track, and the form of 22 shows he's already twice been beaten only a neck or so into places at this level. The draw here is one of the most reliable in Britain and this horse combines it with genuine placed form rather than a blank sheet, which is more than most of his rivals in the good draws can claim.
14:45 911 At Porsche Centre Hull EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
PlacedClass 4 · 0m7f75y · Good To Firm · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Coco Nova (5/6)
Won by: Empire Rising (IRE) at 9/2 · then Black Fury (IRE), Coco Nova (IRE)
What we said: Coco Nova sits miles clear on the numbers off a single run and a fourth-place debut, but that's a thin data point to hang a short price on, and nothing else in this thirteen-runner maiden offers a form case to lean on instead — Empire Rising has never finished better than fourth in four tries, and the leading unraced types (Quintillion, You Got Know How, Diplomacy) are pure pedigree punts with no run to judge.
15:15 Clearanswer Call Centres Handicap Stakes
Did not winClass 6 · 0m7f75y · Good To Firm · 14 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Willowinghurn (9/2)
Won by: Sir David (FR) at 9/1 · then Elettaria (IRE), The New Bay Pearl (GB)
What we said: Fourteen runners in a bottom-grade handicap with half a dozen horses clustered on ability, and the one that rates clearly best on the card, Willowinghurn (PR64, SR72, easily the top figure in the field), is drawn on the wrong side of a genuine inside bias at this 7.5f start while also drifting with first-time cheekpieces-style visor questions attached; nothing else — not the steamer New Bay Pearl on a poor recent trainer record, not the favourably-drawn but fading Sir David or Mickey Mongoose — separates itself enough to build a case around. Too many moving parts (three steamers, three drifters, four gear changes) for an honest single read in a field this size.
15:45 Jill Willows Handicap Stakes
Did not winClass 4 · 0m7f75y · Good To Firm · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Tattie Bogle (13/2)
Won by: Glenfinnan (IRE) at 11/2 · then Alpha Capture (IRE), Intervention (GB)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
16:15 Cayenne Electric At Porsche Centre Hull Handicap Stakes
We named the winnerClass 5 · 1m1f207y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Ciao Capo (7/4)
Won by: Ciao Capo (IRE) at 2/1F · then Bearwith (GB), Dr Rio (FR)
What we said: Two wins from its last three starts show a horse in career-best form, dropping into a modest field with a workable weight of 9-8 and a proven turn of foot on quick ground. The Fahey/Orr combination is in solid touch at this course and the horse's rating edge over this grade looks fully deserved on the recent evidence.
16:45 Nation Radio Yorkshire Handicap Stakes
Did not winClass 5 · 0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 11 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Angel Numbers (7/2)
Won by: Rumble Ruby (GB) at 16/1 · then Straight Ahead (GB), Qila (GB)
What we said: Back-to-back wins in the last two starts (277411) with a Racing Post Rating well clear of this field, and stall 10 sits right in the zone the track's stiff-climb, right-hand elbow layout consistently rewards. The sire line (Profitable/Dark Angel) is built for this fast ground, and while she's carrying top weight that's the price of being the best horse here rather than a knock against her.
