What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
6 races · we bet 1 · we named the winner in 0 · results held for 0
Class 6 · 7f6y · Good To Firm
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Jenni (13/2)
What we said: Steaming market money, favoured low draw, and fast-ground sire lines all converge on a mare already proven over this trip/going
Class 6 · 5f · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Najmet Minzaal (2/1)
What we said: Class 6 nursery with conflicting signals: draw bias favours low numbers (Najmet Minzaal, Penny Capri) but market money is steaming into a badly-drawn outsider (Explainingislosing), no clean angle
Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm
Our bet: Warby (9/4)
What we said: Low draw (1) on a track where low draws are critical, plus a strong 19% steamer move and Tim Easterby's "sends them when confident" pattern all align
Class 5 · 7f6y · Good To Firm
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Beyond The Bar (15/2)
What we said: Favoured low draw (3), Easterby course specialist, proven C&D form, and a bookie overlay (+1.0) flags value at 15/2
Class 6 · 1m7f189y · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Not So Sobers (4/5)
What we said: Class 6 handicap with no standout: market leader Bunker Bay carries a soft-ground sire on quick going plus top weight, while the best-drawn alternative (Lady Buttercup) has a 58-day gap and modest form
Class 5 · 7f6y · Good To Firm
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Velvet Rhythm (2/1)
What we said: Favoured low draw (2), proven course/trip form, and three wins in last five including last time out gives clearest overall profile.
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