What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
6 races · we bet 1 · we named the winner in 1
Class 5 · 1m4f13y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Made All (10/11)
Won by: Palazzo Persico (IRE) at 5/2 · then On The Bubble (GB)
What we said: favoured low draw, strong market steamer, sire suits fast ground, and course/trainer stats stand out despite top weight
Class 5 · 0m5f0y · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Cheeky Chesca (10/3)
Won by: South West (IRE) · then Lion Of Persia (IRE), Prosperity Angel (GB)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 6 · 0m5f212y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
Won by: Lady Dublin (GB)
What we said: 4-runner nursery with conflicting signals (draw bias favors 1&2, but form/figures favor 3&4 draws) — no single angle cleanly wins
Class 4 · 5f212y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
Our bet: Two Commanders (2/1)
Won by: The Good Biscuit (GB) at 7/4F · then Aberama Gold (GB), Two Commanders (GB)
What we said: best draw slot (1) in a track where low draws are decisive, backed by a hot trainer (28%) and a sharply improving form line (312)
Class 4 · 0m7f6y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Woodstock (10/3)
Won by: Naval Light (GB) at 7/2
What we said: favoured low draw on this tight, draw-biased circuit plus a big steamer (8.0→4.3) signalling market confidence, and the going suits his dam-line
Class 6 · 0m5f0y · 9 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Our Absent Friends (11/1)
Won by: Our Absent Friends (IRE) at 9/4 · then South Shore (GB), Zuffolo (IRE)
What we said: Favoured low draw on this tight, low-draw-biased track plus a bookie overlay and quick 2-day fitness turnaround make the 11/1 look overpriced.
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
