Catterick — 22 July 2026

Class 4 · 0m7f6y · Good To Firm · 10 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Havana Court (15/2)

Won by: Missouri Waltz (IRE) at 11/2 · then Aljoon (IRE), Macau (IRE)

What we said: 11-runner 2yo maiden with 4+ credible types (Macau, Havana Court, Aljoon, Freshwater) and several unraced/blank-form runners, no runner's price clearly exceeds my honest read of its chance

Class 5 · 0m7f6y · Good To Firm · 4 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Hamdani Mokhater (11/10)

Won by: Koodini (IRE) at 7/4

What we said: 4-runner nursery with two closely matched form/draw cases (Koodini's rating edge vs Hamdani Mokhater's draw/fitness edge) and the favourite already priced near my honest read, no clear value

Class 6 · 0m7f6y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Kings Merchant (4/1)

Won by: Wise Crack (IRE) at 18/1 · then Vince Le Prince (GB), Good Karma (GB)

What we said: 8-runner handicap with 4+ legitimate claims (Kings Merchant, Vince Le Prince, Gressington, Vega Storm) and no runner priced clearly above my honest read

Class 6 · 1m4f13y · Good To Firm · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Fairydale (7/1)

Won by: Sound Gloria (GB) at 10/11F · then Fairydale (IRE)

What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick

Class 4 · 1m4f13y · Good To Firm · 4 ran

Our bet: Explode (5/2)

Won by: Explode (FR)

What we said: Draw 1 exploits this track's low-draw bias at distance and his RP figures sit well clear of this small field despite one below-form run

Class 6 · 0m5f212y · Good To Firm · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Miss Rainbow (15/8)

Won by: Barmyblade (IRE) at 13/2 · then Wait For It (IRE)

What we said: 4+ runners (Miss Rainbow, Mister Sky Blue, Highfield Sunshine, Barmyblade) have legitimate claims and none is priced clearly above my read of their true chance