What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 1 · we named the winner in 4
Class 4 · 6f17y · Good · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Stardom Glory (6/5)
Won by: Stardom Glory (IRE) · then The Dancing Pirate (GB)
What we said: highest PR (97), consistent placed form on good ground at this trip, draws widest-favoured stall (1), unanimous expert selection, and Hugo Palmer fires well when horses are market-ready
Class 3 · 7f127y · Good · 4 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Eagle Bay (5/4)
Won by: Eagle Bay (GB) at 5/4
What we said: 5-length maiden win franked by subsequent form, proven at 7f on good ground, and Bethell's course record (31% T+J combo, a/e 2.21) is strong despite the draw disadvantage in a 4-runner field where bias is minimal.
Class 3 · 6f17y · Good · 9 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Dark Thirty (11/2)
Won by: Dark Thirty (IRE) at 9/2 · then We Never Stop (IRE), Stratusnine (IRE)
What we said: Racing Post figures rate him clear of these, strong steamer (17% shorter), favourable draw 4, front-runner suits Chester's tight circuit, and handles 6f on good ground
Class 1 · 7f1y · Good · 7 ran
Our bet: Circe (3/1)
Won by: Bellarchi (IRE) at 11/2 · then Dash Of Azure (GB)
What we said: won a Listed race over this exact trip last time, draws stall 1 (critical low-draw advantage on this tight track), and matches Magic Basma on top figures while holding a direct form line over her
Class 3 · 7f1y · Good · 8 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Start Me Up (9/2)
Won by: Start Me Up (GB) at 4/1 · then Sovereign Ocean (IRE), First Time (IRE)
What we said: won here last time, drawn 4 (favoured), trainer in form at 16% (14d), cheekpieces applied, strong course record, and SP confirmed at 9/2 with field of 10.
Class 4 · 1m7f196y · Good · 7 ran
Won by: Ruler Legend (IRE) at 33/1 · then Shipshape (IRE)
Class 5 · 1m4f63y · Good · 8 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Spartan Times (13/2)
Won by: Taritino (IRE) · then Spartan Times (GB), L'eagle Aid (IRE)
What we said: draw 1 is the most favoured stall on this extreme low-draw bias track, Jennie Candlish 14d trainer form at 24%, strong course a/e of 1.30, bookie overlay, and 2lb lower mark today vs a Racing Post pick (Relentless Hero) saddled from stall 8 on a course where high draws are heavily penalised
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
