What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 4
Class 4 · 6f17y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Regency Royal (5/1)
Won by: Towelontheterrace (IRE) at 10/1 · then Regency Royal (GER), Eighth Immortal (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns converged on a different horse than the original pick
Class 3 · 1m2f70y · Good · 3 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Crownright (8/15)
Won by: Crownright (GB)
What we said: best draw (1) on a track where low draws are critical, first-time hood, Frankel/Dansili pedigree ideal for fast going, and clear market leader with no rival close on merit
Class 4 · 7f1y · Good · 4 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Cash Cove (7/4)
Won by: Kach Above (GB) at 14/1
What we said: Favoured low draw (2) plus a strong market steamer align with clear recent form improvement (441).
Class 3 · 1m2f70y · Good · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: King's Code (40/1)
Won by: King's Code (GB) at 18/1 · then Nolton Cross (IRE), Infraad (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 4 · 5f110y · Good · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Top Juggler (2/1)
Won by: Top Juggler (IRE) · then Supreme King (IRE)
What we said: Steaming market leader with a premium low draw (2) on a track where stalls 1-4 dominate, plus a sire profile suited to today's good/firm ground and solid recent form.
Class 5 · 7f1y · Good · 10 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Alfa Whiteburd (9/4)
Won by: Alfa Whiteburd · then Berkshire Boom, Trust Sergei
What we said: favored low draw (4), strong market steamer (50% shorter) and solid recent runner-up form converge, though price already reflects much of that strength
Class 5 · 7f1y · Good · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Giant (9/4)
Won by: Kings Merchant (GB) at 5/1 · then Giant (GB), King Of War (GB)
What we said: Giant has the draw/pace/fitness case but is already fairly priced post-steamer (implied prob exceeds fair%), and every other contender carries a red flag (drift, poor draw, or long layoff)
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
