What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
8 races · we bet 2 · we named the winner in 2
Class 4 · 7f1y · Good · 7 ran
Our bet: Dream Vega (4/6)
Won by: Dream Vega (IRE) · then Secret Oath (IRE)
What we said: draw 2 in a race where low draws are critical, backed heavily from 2.5 to 1.7 on the market, and sire/damsire both suit good ground
Class 5 · 5f15y · Good · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Alfa Duplicate (9/4)
Won by: Secret Mistral (GB) · then Knicks (IRE), Alfa Duplicate (IRE)
What we said: 13-runner Chester sprint handicap; low-draw bias narrows contenders to 5 but form is too tightly bunched among Alfa Duplicate, Secret Mistral, Beaumadier and Miraculous with no price offering genuine overlay vs fair%
Class 4 · 7f127y · Good · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Percy's Lad (11/4)
Won by: Advance Twentyfive (FR) at 22/1 · then Vixey (GB), Giant (GB)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 4 · 7f127y · Good · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Crazee Icon (2/1)
Won by: Crazee Icon (GB) · then Sujet (GB), Calyxoh (IRE)
What we said: 9-runner handicap with 4-5 legitimate contenders (Sujet, Lexington Jet, Knights Gold, Crazee Icon, Start Me Up) all bunched on figures with no standout price overlay
Class 1 · 7f1y · Good · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Tiber Flow (9/2)
Won by: Northern Champion (IRE) at 13/2 · then Dash Of Azure (GB), Holguin (GB)
What we said: 9-runner Listed race with 3+ credible contenders (Witness Stand's figures vs Tiber Flow's draw/trainer form vs Myal's steamer form) and no clear price overlay separating them
Class 4 · 6f17y · Good · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Kind Touch (5/2)
Won by: Grasmere Boy (GB) at 2/1 · then Art Lover (IRE)
What we said: Best draw (3) on a track where low stalls are critical, tops the speed figures by a clear margin, and is a confirmed market steamer (30% shorter)
Class 5 · 1m4f63y · Good · 8 ran
Our bet: Fast Fred (3/1)
Won by: Nibras Gold (IRE) at 15/2 · then Fast Fred (GB), Robusto (IRE)
What we said: Draw 1 gives him the critical low-draw edge on this tight track, backed by a strong market steamer (43% shorter) and a sire line suited to today's going.
Class 4 · 1m6f87y · Good · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Venezuelan (13/2)
Won by: Vaguely Royal (IRE) at 11/2 · then Imperial Sovereign (IRE)
What we said: Best draw (1) in a track where low stalls are critical, tops the speed figures, and proven on this trip/going despite carrying top weight
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
