What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 4
0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Hanney Boy (4/11)
Won by: Hanney Boy (IRE) at 8/11F · then Blooming Sally (IRE), Walk On Harry (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Sirocco Sands (15/8)
Won by: Grayrobin (GB) at 9/1 · then Lars Soldier (IRE), Star Prospect (IRE)
What we said: three legitimate contenders (Star Prospect's figures, Sirocco Sands' market-leading recent form, Lars Soldier's fitness) with no runner clearly overpriced against its true chance
0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Ipanema Queen (5/1)
Won by: Ipanema Queen (IRE) at 15/2 · then Erosandpsyche (IRE), Kendall Roy (GB)
What we said: 11-runner sprint handicap with 4+ horses (Kendall Roy, Erosandpsyche, Ipanema Queen, Howd'yadoit) tightly packed on figures and multiple bookie-above-exchange flags clouding the market
0m6f0y · Good To Firm · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Stooked (13/8)
Won by: Finika (IRE) at 15/2 · then Stooked (IRE), Trek Home (IRE)
What we said: 14-runner maiden, favourite Stooked is short (13/8, fair ~31%) with only a single run to form, no edge over that price
0m6f0y · Good To Firm · 19 ran
We passed. Likely winner: El Fontenaro (7/2)
Won by: El Fontenaro (IRE) at 100/30F · then Rosato (IRE), Jazzit (GB), Love Bomb (IRE)
What we said: 19-runner sprint handicap, no pace/draw read strong enough to isolate a winner, form bunched at the top
1m0f0y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Alphonsus Liguori (1/10)
Won by: Alphonsus Liguori (GB) at 1/20F · then Holy Lettuce (IRE)
What we said: Alphonsus Liguori is a fair-odds 1/10 shot with no value at that price, and the rest of the field is too weak/unproven to back at long odds
1m4f0y · Good To Firm · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Point Cartwright (11/4)
Won by: Amethyst Stone (IRE) at 22/1 · then Millhone (IRE), Glen Echo (IRE)
What we said: 12-runner 3yo handicap, multiple horses (Point Cartwright, Wingit, Millhone, Guildhall Graduate) with legitimate claims and no price standing out clearly against my read
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
