16:53 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
Placed0m5f0y · Good · 16 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Southern Boulevard (13/8)
Won by: Walk On Harry (IRE) at 11/2 · then Southern Boulevard (IRE), Better Yet (IRE)
What we said: Two starts in she's already shown solid improvement, finishing 5th then a close-up 3rd back at this same 5f trip, and her sire's stock is flagged as clearly suited to this quick going. She looks the one with a genuine form pattern pointing forward in a field otherwise stacked with debutants and one-and-done maidens.
17:28 OCS Recruitment Handicap
We named the winner0m5f0y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Amerilis (9/2)
Won by: Amerilis (GB) at 11/2 · then Simmering Seas (IRE), Love Bomb (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
18:03 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Firville Stakes (Listed)
PlacedClass 1 · 0m7f0y · Good · 11 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Maire Rua (13/8)
Won by: Alwaysanangel (IRE) at 5/2 · then Madam Secretary (IRE), Maire Rua (GB)
What we said: Won her only start readily over today's exact trip and going, and with the sun-baked track running fast, being by Frankel — a sire whose stock is noted to thrive specifically on fast ground — gives her the clearest conditions match in this line-up. Colin Keane takes over on an unexposed filly who has shown nothing but improvement so far, and G M Lyons's fillies of this pedigree type tend to progress fastest with racing.
18:35 NFP Irish EBF Platinum Stakes (Listed)
Did not winClass 1 · 0m7f0y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Sindagan (13/2)
Won by: Suzie Songs (IRE) at 5/2F · then Spinning Around (IRE), L L Koulsty (IRE)
What we said: Too many in-form runners for a Listed field this size: Sindagan arrives on a rising sequence capped by a 1/14 win, Suzie Songs and L L Koulsty both won last time out, Princess Child owns the strongest figures but returns from an 82-day break with a poor recent record after such gaps, and Carolina Jetstream drops back in trip off a stronger sire-line fit for this ground — none of them stands clearly apart from the others at the prices on offer. With five drifters in the market and three runners from the same J P Murtagh yard muddying the pace picture further, this is a race to watch rather than back.
19:10 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Give Thanks Stakes (Group 3)
Did not winClass 1 · 1m4f0y · Good · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Bosphorus Rose (5/2)
Won by: Believed (IRE) at 9/4F · then Amelia Earhart (IRE), Caught U Sleeping (IRE)
What we said: the write-up made a claim the racecard does not support, so this pick was withheld
19:45 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden
We named the winner1m2f90y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Garden Party (10/11)
Won by: Garden Party (IRE) at 6/5F · then Zadawa (FR), Serendipia (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
20:15 Fitzgerald Construction Building 'A' Rated Homes Handicap
Placed1m0f0y · Good · 19 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Reponse Finale (4/1)
Won by: Starflow (IRE) at 25/1 · then Reponse Finale (IRE), Glamazon (IRE), Dawn Flame (GB)
What we said: Nineteen runners is too big a field to isolate one horse with confidence, and even the strongest form line here, Reponse Finale's course-and-distance winning effort two days ago, comes with a lightning-quick turnaround that clouds how much petrol is left in the tank. Leannespour and Dawn Flame both arrive with plausible recent form too, and with three or four names in that same bracket there's no single price worth backing in a field this size.
