What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
9 races · we bet 4 · we named the winner in 4
7f · Good To Firm · 13 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Alpha (5/6)
Won by: Alpha (IRE) · then Ibelieveicanfly (USA), Livenka (GB)
What we said: debut second at Leopardstown with inexperience excuses, Ryan Moore booked as O'Brien's first string, outstanding Sea The Stars breeding, fast ground suits, Curragh 7f angle is your single strongest historical edge (100% strike rate)
5f · Good To Firm · 16 ran
Won by: Genesis (IRE) at 25/1 · then Sarahmae (IRE), Dark Ace (IRE), Cuban Grey (GB)
Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran
Won by: Big Gossey (IRE) · then Tango Flare (IRE), Bodhi Bear (IRE)
1m · Good To Firm · 13 ran
Our bet: Zarathos (4/1)
Won by: Pierre Royal (IRE) at 12/1 · then Booyea (IRE), Playin Cool (IRE)
What we said: highest SR in field (95), Dark Angel/Frankel sire-dam combination ideally matches today's Good To Firm, progressive form (two wins then beaten a neck off a lower mark), Racing Post selection, and middle draw
Class 1 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 7 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Purview (4/5)
Won by: Purview (GB) · then Trustyourinstinct (IRE)
What we said: dominant six-length Listed win here at the Curragh last time out on identical ground, clearly best recent form and course form combined, Kingman sire suits today's Good To Firm
Class 1 · 1m · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Alcantor (7/4)
Won by: Zodiac Bear (IRE) at 4/1 · then Alcantor (FR)
What we said: Group-winning class at a mile fits perfectly, step back up from 7f is the key angle, and Racing Post selection aligns with form reading
Class 1 · 1m4f · Good To Firm · 8 ran
Our bet: Benvenuto Cellini (2/1)
Won by: Benvenuto Cellini (IRE) · then Christmas Day (IRE), Pierre Bonnard (IRE)
What we said: Group 3 winner by four lengths at Chester, Frankel sire thrives on Good To Firm, Ryan Moore booking confirms stable confidence, and the Epsom non-start is genuinely excusable
1m1f · Good To Firm · 16 ran
Our bet: King Of Earth (10/3)
Won by: King Of Earth (GB) · then Summer Is Tomorrow (IRE), Liberation Date (GB), How'sthebai (IRE)
What we said: Top PR/SR figures in the field, Kingman sire suits Good To Firm, first-time cheekpieces add upside, and Haggas raiding from the UK with Marquand in the saddle signals genuine stable confidence in a competitive handicap debut
1m4f · Good To Firm · 13 ran
Our bet: Obscenity (4/1)
Won by: In My Teens (IRE) at 9/1 · then This Songisforyou (USA), The Real Screamer (IRE)
What we said: JP O'Brien/Dylan Browne McMonagle is explicitly flagged as a significant booking, back-to-back wins showing progressive form, no negative going flags on GTF, and an 18% T+J strike rate across 1,545 Curragh runs
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
