What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
9 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 0
0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Anchor Road (5/4)
Won by: Porto Vecchio (IRE) at 9/1 · then Victory Speech (IRE)
What we said: proven form (5) with Colin Keane, fast-ground pedigree suits, and priced close to fair with a solid J@course record in a race where rivals are unproven debutants
0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Nautic Star (5/2)
Won by: Rebel Wave (IRE) at 4/1 · then Stooked (IRE), Nautic Star (IRE)
What we said: open fillies maiden with 4+ credible runners (Nautic Star, Stooked, Pink Coral, Rebel Wave) and no runner shows genuine value vs fair%
Class 1 · 1m2f · Good To Firm · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: One Look (10/11)
Won by: Moody (IRE) at 15/2 · then Rhapsody (IRE), Nyra (GER)
What we said: Odds-on favourite (10/11) is clear best on figures but priced with no value vs its own 46% fair%, and three legit rivals (Nyra, Moody, Francophone) make the rest of the race too open to play
0m6f63y · Good To Firm · 20 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Dark Thirty (8/1)
Won by: Sondad (GB) at 9/2F · then Dark Thirty (IRE), Genesis (IRE), Keke (GB)
What we said: 20-runner handicap sprint, draw scattered across the width, too many live form/weight angles to isolate one horse
Class 1 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Rosy Affair (11/4)
Won by: Cover Up (IRE) at 7/1 · then Partisan Hero (IRE), Jakajaro (IRE)
What we said: 4+ runners (Jakajaro, Havana Anna, Bucanero Fuerte, Rosy Affair) are separated by a pound on figures with no runner priced clear of its fair odds
Class 1 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Confucius (6/5)
Won by: Celeron (GB) at 7/2 · then Tribeca (IRE)
What we said: Confucius is clearly the best horse but already trades below its fair odds (no price value), while the formerly top-rated Carry The Flag is drifting badly on cheekpieces debut, muddying the read
Class 1 · 1m4f · Good To Firm · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Earth Shot (11/4)
Won by: Johanna Walsh (IRE) at 7/2 · then Inis Mor (FR), Sparan Nua (IRE)
What we said: Group 1 with 4+ genuine claims (Earth Shot, Composing, Beautify, Johanna Walsh) and the one standout form horse (Earth Shot) is priced shorter than its own fair%, so no market overlay exists
1m2f0y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Yousaynothingatall (9/2)
Won by: Genchev (GB) at 100/30 · then Yousaynothingatall (IRE)
What we said: competitive 6-runner handicap with four legitimate contenders (Genchev, Vanir, Yousaynothingatall, Noble Honour) and conflicting sire/going signals cancelling out; no single overlay stands out enough to justify a price disagreement
0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 18 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Real Encounter (7/2)
Won by: Mary Shoelaces (IRE) at 22/1 · then Harry's Hill (GB), Namiid (IRE), Nouvel Espoir (IRE)
What we said: 18-runner 5f handicap with 3+ legitimate contenders (Real Encounter, Namiid, Apache Outlaw, Daneh Of Dandy) and no price stands out as clear value
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
