What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
8 races · we bet 2 · we named the winner in 4 · results held for 7
Class 3 · 1m3f197y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Alpinara (5/4)
Won by: Alpinara (GB) · then Brunhilde (IRE)
What we said: 36% market steam (biggest signal in the field), Frankel sire thrives on Good to Firm, and the step up to 1m3f+ suits her stamina profile; Prescott placing fillies for specific races is a strong ante-post angle.
Class 5 · 6f2y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Regional Rock (4/11)
Won by: Dark Angel Light (IRE) at 13/2 · then Regional Rock (GB), Sand Sea (GB)
What we said: clear form standard in this novice, already has a win and handles the going, fitness from 366d absence is the only real risk but Beckett knows when to run them
Class 4 · 6f2y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
Won by: Zubaru (GB) at 10/3 · then Papa Cocktail (IRE), Ruby Red Gove (GB)
Class 5 · 7f6y · Good To Firm · 7 ran
Our bet: Beale Street (4/1)
Won by: Beale Street (GB) · then Al Muqdad (GB)
What we said: 29% market steamer, same mark as when second here last time, Racing Post selection, and strong course form on today's going align as independent angles.
Class 5 · 1m2f43y · Good To Firm · 7 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Rizal (4/6)
Won by: Rizal (FR) · then Phaedra (GB)
What we said: strong steamer (17% shorter), top PR rating, good trainer/course stats, and Racing Post selection on fair mark
Class 6 · 6f2y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Pennine Way (9/2)
Won by: Black Endeavour (IRE) · then Come On Over (IRE), Maximum Velocity (IRE)
What we said: steaming into market (15% shorter), course handler with strong going stats, drops back to ideal conditions after poor run on softer ground, Racing Post flagged as genuine contender, and trainer/jockey show positive course A/E figures
Class 5 · 1m6f115y · Good To Firm · 3 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Reem Rak (13/8)
Won by: Reem Rak (IRE) at 2/1
What we said: Varian/Egan combo fires at Ascot (18% T+J strike rate, 1,032 runs, a/e 1.07), filly improving with trip, trainer in form at 16% over 14 days, and La Tosca is a 24% drifter with sire concerns on fast ground
1m2f
Our bet: Al Sharid (Fr) (10/3)
What we said: young improver (4yo, OR90) on a steep upward trajectory (form 21), well-weighted vs top weight, cheekpieces applied, and no fitness concerns unlike the 291-day absentee
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
