What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 1 · we named the winner in 0
Class 5 · 0m5f3y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Ancient Times (5/2)
Won by: J Street (GB) at 11/4 · then Ancient Times (GB)
What we said: 5-runner handicap but four runners (J Street, Ancient Times, Wyle Cop, Startling) all have legitimate claims and no price stands out as a clear overlay
Class 4 · 0m7f6y · Good To Firm · 10 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Keep Grating (7/2)
Won by: Sanbona Warrior (IRE) at 11/10F · then Keep Grating (IRE), The Monkey King (GB)
What we said: Improving form (63), quick 8-day turnaround, dam's-line going flag for good-to-firm, and a clear price/fair-odds gap (7/2 vs 31% fair) make this the value play
Class 3 · 7f6y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Perfect Part (7/1)
Won by: Egoli (GB) at 20/1 · then Yorkshire (IRE), First Time (IRE)
What we said: Steamer with a bookie-vs-exchange overlay, fast-ground pedigree, and proven C&D form while market-confidence rivals (Kodi Lion, Talis Evolvere, Egoli, Daydreama) are all drifting badly
Class 6 · 0m7f6y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Big Apple Jack (8/1)
Won by: Thapa VC (IRE) at 100/30F · then Havana Mojito (GB), Travis (GB)
What we said: Class 6, 8-runner handicap with 4+ live form claims (Travis, Thapa VC, Maxi Boy, Wilde And Dandy) and no single overlay big enough to trust
Class 5 · 1m3f197y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Our bet: Boilermaker (11/8)
Won by: Royal Poetry (IRE) at 9/2 · then Boilermaker (FR)
What we said: heavily backed steamer (41% shorter) with first-time cheekpieces, a clear improving profile (3rd, 2nd last two runs) and proven at today's trip/going
Class 6 · 0m7f213y · Good To Firm · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Woodleigh (10/3)
Won by: Relevant Range (IRE) at 8/1 · then Palmarian (GB), Princess Niyla (GB)
What we said: Class 6 handicap with 6+ plausible contenders (Palmarian, Give Me The Night, Princess Niyla, Clasina, Woodleigh, Ribston Pippin) and no single price standing out as genuinely mispriced beyond normal margin
Class 5 · 2m0f109y · Good To Firm · 3 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Tabasko (3/1)
Won by: Pyleates (GB) at 85/40
What we said: self-consistency reruns converged on a different horse than the original pick
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
