What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 2 · we named the winner in 2
Class 3 · 0m7f6y · Good To Firm · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Jassas (11/10)
Won by: Jassas (GB) at 6/4F · then Narrjoo (IRE), Night Star (IRE)
What we said: competitive 9-runner novice maiden with a short-priced favourite (Jassas 42% fair) and no independent edge beyond the market price
Class 3 · 1m2f43y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Round The Table (8/15)
Won by: Round The Table (IRE) at 2/7F
What we said: 4-runner race but Round The Table faces a firm-ground concern for a Camelot sire while Interstate is unproven after 245 days off, leaving no confident read
Class 4 · 0m6f111y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Our bet: Jumeirah Storm (5/2)
Won by: Shadow King (IRE) at 10/1 · then Jumeirah Storm (IRE)
What we said: won last time out, dam-line (Kingman) suits fast ground, and low draw/in-form yard converge for value at 5/2 vs 27% fair
Class 5 · 0m6f2y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Sargent Dennis (5/2)
Won by: Ay Up Duck (GB) at 11/1 · then Alfa Duplicate (IRE), Frio (GB)
What we said: 8-runner handicap with 4+ live contenders (Sargent Dennis's form, Alfa Duplicate's going edge, Ay Up Duck's consistency) and no runner priced clearly above my honest read of its chance
Class 5 · 0m7f6y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Farandaway (10/3)
Won by: Commander Of Life (IRE) at 7/4F · then Farandaway (IRE)
What we said: 7-runner handicap with 3-4 realistic form contenders (Farandaway, Commander Of Life, Al Muqdad) all priced close to fair, no runner clearly overpriced vs my read
Class 6 · 0m7f213y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
Our bet: Palmarian (3/1)
Won by: Theme Park (GB) at 13/2 · then Chilly Breeze (GB), Boubyan (IRE)
What we said: improving form (589512) with a quick 5-day turnaround, plus both sire and damsire flagged for handling this fast/good-to-firm ground, gives it a genuine edge over its 23% fair price
Class 5 · 1m2f43y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Alterity (3/1)
Won by: Shadow Brigade (IRE) at 10/1 · then Saxophonist (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
