Doncaster — 1 August 2026

Class 4 · 6f2y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Kohana Nation (4/5)

Won by: Kohana Nation (IRE) at 2/5F

What we said: This six-runner novice boils down to a market convinced Kohana Nation returns fit after 225 days off and beats a moderate field, but a horse absent that long carries real risk that the price no longer compensates for, and Brash's first-time blinkers add another unknown rather than a clear positive; with the two market drifters (Stoneacre Joe, Triple P) both easy to leave out and no runner whose price looks generously wrong against the likely finishing order, this is a pass.

Class 4 · 7f6y · Good To Firm · 5 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Eighth Immortal (10/3)

Won by: Weleyff (IRE) at 5/4F · then Lincoln Warrior (IRE)

What we said: Sits well clear of this field on PR (96 vs the next-best 86), and his form figures of 2-3 show he's been knocking on the door without the run of a race going his way. At 10/3 I make him roughly a 28% chance, which looks a fair bit better than his rating and recent placings actually warrant.

Class 4 · 6f111y · Good To Firm · 13 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Forest Berry (4/1)

Won by: Tiora Time (GB) at 15/8F · then Arenite (GB), Romotoso (GB)

What we said: Consistently competitive form figures (7242) show she's already fought out finishes at this level, and an 8-day turnaround suggests she's fit and ready with a trainer in Prescott who knows how to place two-year-olds; at 4/1 with an in-form yard (30% last 14 days) I make her around a 22% chance in a wide-open maiden.

Class 6 · 1m2f43y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Mariner (9/4)

Won by: Mariner (IRE) at 7/4 · then Whiskey Pete (IRE)

What we said: Drops to a feather weight with a 7lb apprentice claim on board, and this is exactly the fast-ground test his Kingman sire profile is built for, having already banked a 2nd and a 3rd from his last six starts against similar company. The yard is in good touch (23% with the trainer in the last fortnight) and I make him a genuine 35% chance in a small, ordinary Class 6 field where the market currently prices him below that.

Class 4 · 7f6y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: First Time (9/4)

Won by: Suspicious Mindz (GB) at 7/2 · then Shadow Run (IRE)

What we said: Carries a performance rating ten points clear of his current mark (PR92 vs OR82), suggesting the handicapper hasn't caught up with true form, and his recent efforts (2nd, then a modest phase) came without the penalty he now avoids. Fahey stable form and a repeat trip to a fair, galloping track both play to his C&D-type profile, and I make him around a 35% chance at 9/4. The two market drifters in this field (Suspicious Mindz, Goldwork) are fading for a reason, leaving him the strongest of the leading contenders on pure ability.

Class 6 · 7f6y · Good To Firm · 11 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Get Up Everybody (10/3)

Won by: Emerald Army (IRE) at 5/1 · then Operation Gimcrack (IRE), Get Up Everybody (IRE)

What we said: This is an ultra-competitive Class 6 handicap where at least five runners (Get Up Everybody, Moonhall Lass, Operation Gimcrack, Hares Bredth, Emerald Army) all have plausible recent form claims within a few pounds of each other on the ratings, and none of them stands out as clearly underpriced once you weigh the market's own assessment — the prices largely reflect the genuine spread of chance rather than any mispricing. The steamer (Operation Gimcrack) and drifter (Moonhall Lass, now sporting unproven first-time cheekpieces) both carry some information but neither shifts the picture enough to isolate a confident single winner.

Class 6 · 7f6y · Good To Firm · 10 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Von Trotter (9/2)

Won by: Von Trotter (GB) at 100/30 · then Wilde And Dandy (GB), Sir David (FR)

What we said: a messy Class 6 handicap where half the field arrives with modest, mixed form (843/8th-and-worse finishes littering several cards) and no runner clearly stands out, while the two market leaders, Donald and Von Trotter, have both drifted hard overnight, muddying rather than clarifying who the money actually favours. With ten runners on a fair, bias-free straight track and no standout profile jumping off the page, it's not a race worth backing blind.

Class 5 · 6f2y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Another Investment (10/3)

Won by: Shazani (FR) · then Another Investment (IRE), Ziggy's Condor (IRE)

What we said: Eight fairly matched sprinters on quick ground with no standout: Another Investment strings together two straight seconds, Startled Lady arrives off a course-and-distance win, Shazani is finishing closer each start, and Ziggy's Condor adds first-time blinkers off a rapid backup run — too many overlapping form lines to isolate one true price anomaly. The market itself is unsettled (Startled Lady drifting from 4.5 to 7.0, Shazani easing too, while Ay Gee Ell shortens sharply off a poor recent line), which points to genuine uncertainty rather than a mispriced runner.