What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 2
0m5f0y · Good · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Mr Montauk (3/1)
Won by: Tatianna (IRE) at 15/2 · then Bit Of A Buzz (IRE)
What we said: top-rated Bit Of A Buzz has a cold yard (4% trainer) while the hot-yard runner (Mr Montauk, 36% trainer) has modest form; no runner offers value over its fair price
0m5f0y · Good · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Shamanka (18/1)
Won by: Viamonte (IRE) at 10/1 · then Dandy Land (IRE), Hot To Foxtrot (IRE)
What we said: 11-runner handicap, tightly bunched form through the middle, no standout price edge
0m7f25y · Good · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Cashel Queen (7/4)
Won by: West Of Eden (IRE) at 15/8F · then Seaxburh (IRE)
What we said: 6-runner maiden with two clear market leaders (West Of Eden 11/8, Cashel Queen 7/4) and no bookie-overlay value on either; steam on Cashel Queen already priced in
1m2f140y · Good · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Camelot Queen (11/8)
Won by: Youcansaythatagain (IRE) at 5/4F · then Chosen One (IRE)
What we said: two well-matched favourites (Youcansaythatagain, Camelot Queen) both priced right at their fair odds, no value gap either side
1m5f0y · Good · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Numidia (3/1)
Won by: Numidia (IRE) at 9/2 · then Masego (IRE)
What we said: 7-runner competitive handicap with 4+ horses (Banana Three, Booklight, Rising Sky, Numidia) holding legitimate claims and no runner showing a genuine price overlay against fair%
1m5f0y · Good · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Teologia (4/7)
Won by: Teologia (FR) at 4/7F · then Beauparc (IRE)
What we said: 5-runner handicap split between a short-priced market leader (Teologia 4/7, fair 57%) and a figures-favourite (Stellar Quality) with no clean overlay big enough to back either
1m5f0y · Good · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Chapel Island (7/2)
Won by: Sea Of Dubka (IRE) at 3/1 · then Augusta Rock (IRE)
What we said: messy 7-runner handicap with no standout value; Chapel Island rated clear best but priced short of fair, Leeward carries big weight, no overlay stands out enough to trust
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
