What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
2m1f165y · Good · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Cool Native (5/2)
Won by: Fastnet Crystal (IRE) at 13/8F · then Mercurial Sea (IRE), Cool Native (IRE)
What we said: 12-runner mares maiden with 4+ live contenders (Cool Native, Fastnet Crystal, Room For One More, Ritz Plan) and multiple key runners returning from long layoffs (93-183d) making form unreadable
2m1f165y · Good · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Luker's Tipple (evn)
Won by: Luker's Tipple (IRE) at 5/6F · then Fortis Et Liber (GB), Liceo (FR)
What we said: Favourite Luker's Tipple is clearly the classiest and most consistent (392-34, course/jockey stats strong) but is priced right at/inside its fair odds with no value edge, and no other runner shows a genuine price overlay against a credible form case
2m1f165y · Good · 15 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Bryson (6/1)
Won by: Small Bucks (IRE) at 11/1 · then Sea Of Doubt (IRE), Gortmore Lady (IRE)
What we said: 18-runner handicap hurdle, deep and messy field with no reliable angle, several with credible claims
2m5f185y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: San Hilario (6/5)
Won by: Marcelrock (IRE) at 16/1 · then Magical Sal (IRE), O'callaghan Can (IRE)
What we said: Maiden hurdle with two clear market leaders (San Hilario, Martin Plage) close to fair odds, no overlay or angle to oppose them, rest of field is longshot noise
2m5f185y · Good · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Surfin Usa (15/8)
Won by: Gangster Granny (IRE) at 11/2 · then Lemmy Caution (FR)
What we said: 6-runner novice hurdle with three legitimate contenders (Playtime, Surfin Usa, Lemmy Caution) and no price clearly overlaid against a strong form case
2m5f185y · Good · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Nakassama (10/3)
Won by: Tolka Row (IRE) at 33/1 · then Nakassama (IRE), Joya Del Mar (IRE)
What we said: 18-runner handicap with 4+ genuine claimants (Nakassama, Ringdufferin, Typical Thomas, Andys Flame) and no price standing out as clearly overlaid
2m2f165y · Good · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Payslip (7/2)
Won by: Its Time For A Run (IRE) at 3/1 · then Payslip (IRE), Loves A Laugh (IRE)
What we said: Bumper with amateur riders, multiple unexposed/debutant runners and two significant layoffs; form book offers no reliable read
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
