16:38 Dino Family Day At Fairyhouse Optional Claiming Race
1m2f · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Zitkala Sa (5/2)
What we said: market favourite Pass The Buck steaming despite being a soft/heavy sire specialist on Good To Firm, and 4+ runners (Pass The Buck, Zitkala Sa, Tenacious, Henry Hudson) have genuine claims with no standout price overlay
17:08 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden
6f · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Livenka (5/4)
What we said: Livenka is a short favourite in a wide-open 10-runner maiden with two O'Brien runners drifting and no strong price value elsewhere
17:40 Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden
6f · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: King's Fury (9/2)
What we said: maiden 2yo sprint with market steamer (King's Fury) already backed into 5.5, no overlay left, and City Of Gold favourite unproven form; no clean edge
18:15 Fairyhouse Winter Festival 28th & 29th November Rated Race
1m5f200y · Good To Firm
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Royal Hollow (10/3)
What we said: top-rated on figures, proven at trip with progressive form and a runner-up last time, in a race with no standout price overlay elsewhere
18:50 Darley Irish EBF Stanerra Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 3)
Class 1 · 1m5f200y · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Goodie Two Shoes (6/5)
What we said: Group 3 with 4+ legitimate contenders (Goodie Two Shoes, Perfect Your Craft, Bloom, Galileo Dame) and no standout price value on the favourite
19:25 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
7f · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Sindagan (7/2)
What we said: 15-runner maiden with Sindagan drifting-market-favourite-adjacent but no standout price edge, Passage Of Power and Cladach both drifting against them
20:00 Winter Festival Early Bird Tickets From 20 Euros Handicap
7f · Good To Firm
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Rahmi (11/2)
What we said: Clear top-rated form horse on a steamer with bookie overlay, proven at the trip on this quick ground.
20:30 Racing Again September 21st Handicap
7f · Good To Firm
We passed. Likely winner: Contrary To Law (3/1)
What we said: 15-runner handicap, no standout: multiple steamers/drifters conflict and top rated horses all carry question marks