What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
2m0f130y · Good · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Witches Familiar (15/8)
Won by: Witches Familiar (FR) at 13/8F · then Mino Des Mottes (FR), Arouet (FR)
What we said: crowded novice field with three unexposed "form: 1" fillies and Munsif/Arouet also holding claims; favourite Witches Familiar looks best but at 15/8 the price already reflects it, no mispriced runner stands out
2m0f130y · Good · 20 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Whats New (14/1)
Won by: Timurshah (IRE) at 12/1 · then Whats New (IRE), Soldante (IRE), Searcog (IRE)
What we said: 20-runner handicap, tightly bunched form (Whats New/Claude/Inchiquin Star/Desert Friend all close on figures), no runner's price clearly beats its fair chance
0m7f0y · Good To Yielding · 8 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: One Number (11/8)
Won by: Trean (IRE) at 11/4 · then City Of Gold (GB), Hmas Perth (USA)
What we said: clear market leader with placed form figures (203), strong trainer form (30%) and fair% roughly matching price, best proven profile in a maiden field lacking depth
2m0f179y · Yielding · 20 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Eagle Fang (6/1)
Won by: Comfort Zone (IRE) at 18/1 · then Holy See (IRE), Teed Up (IRE), Eagle Fang (IRE)
What we said: 20-runner handicap on Yielding, no draw/pace data, too many overlapping form cases (Granite Bay, Eagle Fang, Comfort Zone, Lark In The Mornin, Yashin all plausible) with no runner clearly overpriced against my read
0m7f0y · Yielding · 15 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Expert Dancer (16/1)
Won by: Dancing Saxon (IRE) at 13/8F · then Expert Dancer (GB), Motta Alta (IRE)
What we said: 15-runner competitive handicap, going just softened to Yielding adding uncertainty, no runner's price clearly misjudges its chance vs fair%
1m4f84y · Yielding · 15 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Nermal (12/1)
Won by: Madbadanddangerous (IRE) at 11/2 · then Sharkeyboy (FR), Vantage Code (IRE)
What we said: 15-runner competitive handicap with 5+ horses (Madbad, Confused, Themis, Sir Benji, So Must I, Darius Dark, Nermal) holding legitimate claims and no price clearly wrong against my read
2m0f130y · Yielding · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Power Of Knowledge (7/4)
Won by: Teofil (IRE) at 7/2 · then Which Flannerys (IRE), Prime Contender (GB)
What we said: 13-runner bumper stuffed with debutants/lightly-raced types, no reliable form or draw signal to isolate a winner
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
