Galway — 28 July 2026

Class 1 · 2m0f110y · Good · 9 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Lizzie Twigg (9/4)

Won by: Lizzie Twigg (IRE) at 5/2 · then Fastnet Crystal (IRE), Porcupine Bank (IRE)

What we said: Four runners (Lizzie Twigg, Gomez Addams, Magico, Fastnet Crystal) all carry legitimate claims and are priced close to their de-vigged fair odds, so there's no runner whose price clearly undersells its chance

2m2f54y · Good · 11 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Bowensonfire (3/1)

Won by: Frankie John (IRE) at 15/8 · then Bowensonfire (FR), My Great Mate (IRE)

What we said: Comfortably top of the form figures on 144 and already proven over today's course, distance and going, he's the one confirmed-fit contender in a race where three of his closest market rivals (Love Me Tender, Frankie John, My Great Mate) are all returning from 90+ day absences into a stiff beginners' chase test. His only blip was a fourth last time from a clearly higher level, and with Jack Kennedy up and the main dangers carrying obvious fitness question marks, the layoff-heavy opposition hands him a clearer path than the 3/1 suggests.

2m2f54y · Good · 20 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Tell Us This (11/1)

Won by: Tell Us This (IRE) at 12/1 · then Herja (IRE), Leave In Secret (IRE), Stoneyford Lady (IRE)

What we said: 20-runner handicap chase, no draw relevance but a genuinely wide-open field with 5+ live claims (Crescent Moon, Tell Us This, Leave In Secret, Butter Fingers, Fort Randall) and no runner's price stands out as clearly too big against my read

0m7f0y · Good · 13 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: The Good Wife (6/1)

Won by: Samnina (IRE) at 4/1 · then Madam Secretary (IRE), Silver Kiss (IRE)

What we said: Untested but heavily backed into 7/1 from 8.5, with a trainer boasting a strong 21% course strike and outstanding 28% jockey-trainer combo that suggests real stable confidence in this debutant. The Zarak filly's damsire Sea The Stars line is flagged as excelling on today's fast/good ground, and the market move looks like genuine information rather than noise given the yard's course record. At 6/1 against a fair price near 12%, there's more here than the raw form line shows.

1m0f123y · Yielding · 17 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Hardy Warrior (4/1)

Won by: Orandi (FR) at 16/1 · then Pierre Royal (IRE), Jagged Edge (IRE), Hardy Warrior (IRE)

What we said: 17-runner handicap with a genuine cluster of live claims (Hardy Warrior, Dunum, Ribee, Lord Massusus, Pierre Royal, Jagged Edge all have a case) and a going change from Good to Yielding adding fresh uncertainty on top of two long-layoff returners; no single price stands out as clearly wrong against my own read

7f · Yielding · 15 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Inishfallen (9/1)

Won by: Eddie G (IRE) at 7/2F · then Go Athletico (FR), Alfred Tennyson (IRE)

What we said: 15-runner competitive handicap, tightly bunched form (Go Athletico, Inishfallen, Vlhova, Sommelier, Goal Exceeded all within a few lengths on figures), going just changed to Yielding adding further uncertainty, and no runner's price clearly exceeds my read of its chance

0m7f0y · Yielding · 15 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Starborn Legend (13/8)

Won by: Sindagan (IRE) · then Almeiyda (IRE), Uncle Goalie (IRE)

What we said: 15-runner maiden with a wide draw spread and no proven form standout at a big enough price; Sindagan and Starborn Legend both have live claims but are priced close to fair, and the rest are unproven types with no reliable angle to isolate

1m0f123y · Yielding · 18 ran

We passed. Likely winner: San Aer (4/1)

Won by: Lady Arwen (GB) at 12/1 · then San Aer (IRE), Loingseoir (IRE), Bucaneer's Spirit (IRE)

What we said: 18-runner handicap on drying/yielding ground with a bunched form book, no draw data, and multiple horses (San Aer, Java Wood, Blues Emperor, Elusive Duke, Bay Of Dreams) all carrying plausible cases at short-to-mid prices