Galway — 29 July 2026

2m6f0y · Good · 20 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Al Arrivee (85/40)

Won by: Mr Hollywood (IRE) at 2/1F · then Jeroboam Machin (FR), Al Arrivee (FR)

What we said: 20-runner maiden hurdle with heavy fitness-return uncertainty across multiple contenders and no runner whose price clearly undervalues its chance versus the market favourite Al Arrivee

2m6f0y · Good · 20 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Golden Temple (15/2)

Won by: Mighty Berkshire (IRE) at 15/2 · then Golden Temple (IRE), Macshadow Des Crai (FR), Granville Street (IRE)

What we said: 20-runner handicap hurdle with several fitness question marks (188d, 125d, 114d, 122d absences) among the more fancied types, no standout front-runner or angle to isolate a winner, this is the exact lottery-type race the record shows losing money on

2m0f110y · Good · 20 ran

We passed. Likely winner: She's A Fine Wine (12/1)

Won by: Venusienne (FR) at 11/1 · then Fratas (IRE), Emesteraye (IRE), Cleopatra's Needle (IRE)

What we said: 20-runner mares handicap hurdle with at least five genuine contenders (She's A Fine Wine, Venusienne, Zahra Dodville, Samba Train, Fratas) and no single price standing out against my own read of their chances; the top-rated horse also carries a real conceded-weight question that muddies rather than clarifies the picture

Class 1 · 2m6f111y · Good · 22 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Nowwhatdoyouthink (6/1)

Won by: King Alexander (IRE) at 20/1 · then Conyers Hill (IRE), Gorgeous Tom (IRE), Nowwhatdoyouthink (IRE)

What we said: 22-runner Galway Plate handicap with multiple fitness-unknown returners and a genuinely blanket-finish form book (Senecia, Three Card Brag, Rocky's Diamond, Jesse Evans, Nowwhatdoyouthink all have live claims), so no price stands out as clearly wrong against my read

1m4f43y · Yielding · 18 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Abbotsford (11/4)

Won by: Abbotsford (GB) at 7/4F · then Sunny South West (IRE), Daddy Long Legs (FR)

What we said: 18-runner maiden with two joint-favourites (Daddy Long Legs, Abbotsford) both at 11/4 and no runner whose price clearly undervalues its chance against the form; too many plausible types (progressive Mergus Serrator, in-form Sunny South West, big-field unknowns returning from long absences) to isolate an edge

1m0f123y · Good · 13 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Johnny Soda (7/1)

Won by: Minella Rockett (IRE) at 10/1 · then Johnny Soda (IRE), Krasimir (IRE)

What we said: Back-to-back wins last time out and two starts back cap a genuinely progressive formline, and he's already proven over today's trip and going, which few in this field can match with such recent form. I make him around a 15% chance at 7/1, a fair look for a horse still on the upgrade rather than fading like several of the market principals.

2m0f110y · Yielding · 19 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Gaoth Chuil (4/1)

Won by: Cock And Bull (IRE) · then Wahraan (FR), Ben Hur (IRE), Liam Swagger (GB)

What we said: 19-runner Galway handicap over 2m with a going change to yielding, this is exactly the large-field lottery type that loses money; no runner's price clears its fair odds by enough to justify a bet in a field this size and chaotic