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Home/Archive/Goodwood — 29 August 2026

Goodwood — 29 August 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

7 races · we bet 1 · we named the winner in 0

13:25 British Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Did not win

Class 2 · 1m0f0y · Good To Firm · 13 ran

Our bet: Lily Pink (9/4)

Won by: Silverella (GB) at 14/1 · then Rhythm Of My Heart (GB), Roku Nana (GB)

What we said: Ran a clear-cut second at this exact course, distance and going just 22 days ago, the best and most specific match on offer in this field, and she does it for a yard sending out winners at a healthy 13% clip. She looks the type to progress from that experience rather than a novice facing an unknown test, which is the case for most of this field.

14:00 Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap Stakes

Did not win

Class 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Ghost Mode (9/2)

Won by: Forty Years On (IRE) at 6/4F · then Fondo Blanco (GB), Pellitory (GB)

What we said: too many live claims in a 15-runner Class 2 handicap: Forty Years On heads the market on a red-hot 1112-1 line but has never raced on good-to-firm in six runs and returns from 79 days off, Ghost Mode arrives in-form with course-and-distance wins and a red-hot yard, Addison Grey is improving fast on a 225391 figure-string, and Completely Random carries the topweight into it too — no single case is clean enough to back at its price.

14:35 Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Placed

Class 2 · 1m3f218y · Good To Firm · 9 ran

We passed. Likely winner: High Degree (2/1)

Won by: Too Soon (GB) at 4/1 · then High Degree (GB), Green Sky (IRE)

What we said: High Degree heads the market on solid recent form but has never proven himself over today's trip after winning at 10f last time, and with Too Soon, Tony Montana and Rathgar all racing off tightly-bunched marks (96 down to 93) with genuine recent claims of their own, no single price stands out as the one worth backing. This looks like a true form-book puzzle where the ratings are too close and the key stamina question on the favourite is untested.

15:10 Virgin Bet Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2)

Did not win

Class 1 · 1m0f0y · Good To Firm · 9 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Boiling Point (9/2)

Won by: Zavateri (IRE) at 11/10F · then Qirat (GB)

What we said: the write-up made a claim the racecard does not support, so this pick was withheld

15:45 Darley Ebf Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race)

Did not win

Class 2 · 1m1f197y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Tropical Sands (3/1)

Won by: Chimes Of Thunder (GER) at 9/2 · then Queen Of Scotland (GB), Aunt Roberta (IRE)

What we said: Too many fillies with genuine claims here: Tropical Sands has been progressive (4-3-2) and gets a track she's raced well over, Evening Call arrives shouted-up from the Haggas yard even off a plain third, and Chimes Of Thunder and Queen Of Scotland both have live cases too — nothing separates the top four enough to lean on one at the price. Rain easing the ground helps Tropical Sands' good-firm query, but that's a tick in her favour, not a case to build a bet on alone.

16:20 Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Placed

Class 4 · 1m6f0y · Good To Firm · 12 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Zachary Hickes (2/1)

Won by: Gooloogong (IRE) at 7/2 · then Zachary Hickes (GB), Russian Rumour (IRE)

What we said: too many in-form runners crowd this Class 4 stayers' handicap: Zachary Hickes won last time and steps up in trip, Arcturus Flame has been running well without winning (5325V2) and has strong trainer/jockey combo figures, Educator won last start but drifted in the market, and Taritino and Two Plus Two are both racing consistently too — nothing separates them cleanly enough at the prices on offer.

16:55 Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Stakes

Placed

Class 2 · 0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Toca Madera (3/1)

Won by: Naana's Sparkle (GB) at 11/4 · then Toca Madera (IRE)

What we said: Toca Madera looks the biggest threat on pure form (PR105, SR95, solid T+J combo) but at 3/1 the market already prices him close to fair, and behind him Lexington Blitz, Dream Composer, All Ways Glamorous and Naana's Sparkle all carry live claims with nothing at the prices to separate them — exactly the kind of bunched Class 2 handicap that isn't worth a single-horse bet. Add in forecast rain easing the ground from good-to-firm and you've got a extra layer of uncertainty over a field with several recent-form runners on quicker surfaces.

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