Hamilton — 11 July 2026

Class 6 · 5f7y · Good · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Thornaby Pearl (4/1)

Won by: Thornaby Pearl (GB) at 7/2 · then Azuinthejungle (GB), Harb (GB)

What we said: Contradictory draw-bias signals for this course/distance and 4+ runners (Harb, Azuinthejungle, Thunderstorm Katie, Thornaby Pearl) with genuine live claims, no single price standing out as clear value

Class 4 · 5f7y · Good · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Hell Of A Spin (13/8)

Won by: Hell Of A Spin (IRE) · then Casino Star (IRE)

What we said: contradictory draw-bias data (high vs low favoured) and no runner shows a clean market edge in this 7-horse maiden

Class 5 · 6f6y · Good · 5 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Not Me (9/2)

Won by: Iris Dancer (GB) at 4/1 · then Ashen (IRE)

What we said: Bookie overlay flags genuine mispricing at 11/2 and dam's line suits today's going, backed by strong course trainer/jockey stats.

Class 4 · 1m5f16y · Good · 5 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Dunkeld Dreamer (9/4)

Won by: Spirit Of Acklam (GB) at 10/1 · then Prince Of The Seas (IRE)

What we said: 6-runner competitive handicap with contradictory draw-bias data (right-hand high vs left-hand low) and no single price offering clear value over fair%

Class 4 · 1m68y · Good · 5 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Zowal (11/2)

Won by: Lucky Camino (IRE) · then Kaleido (GB)

What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick

Class 6 · 1m68y · Good · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Hostelry (9/2)

Won by: Amber Hamur (IRE) · then Second Fiddle (IRE)

What we said: contradictory draw-bias data (right-high vs left-low) plus two rival steamers (Second Fiddle, Hostelry) fighting each other in a low-grade Class 6 handicap gives no clean read

Class 5 · 1m3f15y · Good · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Mr Moonshine (7/1)

Won by: Clocker (GB) at 6/1 · then Mr Moonshine (IRE)

What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick