Hamilton — 1 August 2026

Class 4 · 0m6f6y · Good · 5 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Henley On Thames (11/8)

Won by: Henley On Thames (IRE) at 2/1 · then Thanks Harry (GB)

What we said: Two runs to date have both ended in the frame (622), showing that improving, consistent profile that maiden form favours over a one-and-done record; the stiff uphill finish at Hamilton should suit a colt who's already shown he stays on and finds more late. Priced level with California School despite the clearly stronger form line, I make him around a 45% chance in a race that's really a two-horse contest.

Class 3 · 1m3f15y · Good · 5 ran

We passed. Likely winner: According To Mark (13/8)

Won by: Tiernan (IRE) at 11/8 · then Kissmehoneyhoney (GB)

What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick

Class 4 · 1m5f16y · Good · 11 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Dunkeld Dreamer (11/2)

Won by: Cabrera (IRE) at 85/40F · then Secret Force (IRE), Gallus Norman (GB)

What we said: Six straight competitive efforts (142414) show a filly in rock-solid form, and dropping into this book at just 9-7 with a proven trainer in career-best form gives her a real swing at this trip. The Sea The Stars damsire line is flagged as thriving on today's going, adding a conditions edge to the consistency case; I make her a 22% chance in a race where the leading fancy has already been heavily backed.

Class 2 · 0m5f7y · Good · 14 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Jordan Electrics (8/1)

Won by: Corolla Point (IRE) at 3/1F · then Eternal Sunshine (GB), Fluorescence (GB)

What we said: Won last time out and the form line 954831 shows a horse steadily building toward that win, with the manageable 9-3 weight a big plus compared to the toppers up in the 140lb bracket. I make him around a 15% chance in this blanket-finish handicap, which the 8/1 on offer undervalues given he's fit having run just 12 days ago and the yard's course-and-jockey combo figures are solid.

Class 5 · 0m5f7y · Good · 12 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Little Mi Mi (11/2)

Won by: Little Mi Mi (IRE) at 4/1F · then Oriental Prince (GB), Hundred Caps (GB)

What we said: Won last time out and has strung together five solid efforts on the bounce (1-2-1-0-4-1), showing the type of consistent, progressive profile you want from a mare dropping into a weak Class 5 sprint. She races off a fair enough mark (9-4) with no weight concerns, unlike the top-weight in this field, and I make her around a 20% chance at a price implying roughly 15%.

Class 5 · 1m0f68y · Good · 10 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Mwafaq (9/2)

Won by: Ephron (IRE) at 11/1 · then Mwafaq (IRE), Yaaser (IRE)

What we said: This gelding is fizzing with form, winning two of his last three starts and never out of the first two in his last four runs, and today's step up in trip and the good going suit his damsire line perfectly. The first-time cheekpieces look like a yard sharpening up a horse already on the way up rather than papering over a problem, and the 5lb claim keeps the weight manageable; I make him roughly a 24% chance at 9/2.

Class 6 · 1m1f35y · Good · 9 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Pisanello (10/11)

Won by: Pisanello (IRE) at 11/10F · then Jenson Benson (IRE), Saxon Grace (IRE)

What we said: This looks like a Pisanello benefit at odds-on, and he's earned favouritism with a strong recent run of form, but there's no runner behind him whose price clearly undersells its chance: Braes Of Doune is out of form and drawn wide with a losing bookie-vs-exchange flag, Hostelry and Defence Missile are workmanlike types at fair prices, and the rest are big-priced no-hopers on ratings. A short-priced favourite plus a pack of fairly-assessed outsiders is not a race worth staking.