What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 0 · results held for 0
Class 5 · 1m2f219y · Standard / Slow
We passed. Likely winner: Sonnerie Power (15/2)
What we said: competitive 7-runner handicap with conflicting signals (steamer Brodie's Boy has weak form, favourite Sarangpur too short at 4/7, top-rated Big Bear Hug drifting hard)
Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow
We passed. Likely winner: Spirit Tango (9/4)
What we said: 9-runner novice with four legitimate contenders (Spirit Tango, Clarity, Meennaa, Speed Nation) and no standout price value on the favourite
Class 3 · 1m2f219y · Standard / Slow
We passed. Likely winner: Marianita (11/4)
What we said: two-horse market (Kashooda 9/4, Marianita steaming to 3.8) with no clean price edge on either, and this is a 13-runner handicap-style novice on tricky standard/slow ground
Class 4 · 1m7f218y · Standard / Slow
We passed. Likely winner: Baileys Khelstar (4/1)
What we said: 9-runner handicap with 4+ live contenders (Caprelo, Baileys Khelstar, Gooloogong, Barenboim) on close figures and no standout price overlay
Class 6 · 1m · Standard / Slow
We passed. Likely winner: Fallacious Promise (15/8)
What we said: 14-runner Class 6 handicap; the shortening favourite had a 2-day turnaround (unproven) and my own steamer picks have a poor recent strike rate (7%) despite market support
Class 6 · 1m · Standard / Slow
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Volto Di Medusa (9/2)
What we said: Steaming from 9/1 to 5.5, with proven course/distance/going form and a sire line that suits today's ground
Class 6 · 1m · Standard / Slow
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Between Me And U (7/2)
What we said: Strong market steamer (50% shorter) combined with sire's proven going preference and solid trainer/jockey combo form (21%)
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
