17:20 Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Nursery Handicap Stakes
Did not winClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Tallahassee Lassie (3/1)
Won by: Invincible Isaac (GB) at 9/1 · then Nascent Star (GB), Kochella (IRE)
What we said: She's the one horse in this nursery on a genuine upward curve, form figures reading 6-5-3-1 with a win last time out, and she carries the highest rating in the field by four pounds. Oisin Murphy takes the ride and his statistics riding fancied types have been running well ahead of what the market credits him for, which adds a layer to a filly who was already doing this the hard way.
17:50 Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB Race)
We named the winnerClass 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Off The Peg (6/4)
Won by: Off The Peg (IRE) at 6/5F · then Chymbulak (IRE), Greenlander (IRE)
What we said: Off The Peg heads the market off a single run that only managed 6th, and with No Nay Never's sire profile favouring faster ground the switch to Standard/Slow is no help; behind him Chymbulak, Ahmadi and Minzazi are all unraced types from capable yards where the form book gives nothing to grab onto. Too many first-time-out unknowns and a favourite whose form doesn't obviously justify 6/4 for me to put money down with conviction.
18:20 Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB Race)
Did not winClass 3 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Montalbano (3/1)
Won by: Clive The Writer (IRE) at 15/8F · then Ghost Raider (IRE), Gold Army (GB)
What we said: Three runners share identical top billing at 3/1 with the same fair-price reading — Clive The Writer, Ghost Raider and Montalbano — and nothing in the form book or breeding data separates them enough to lean on one over the others with confidence. Montalbano is unraced but carries a favourable dam-line-on-this-going flag and Oisin Murphy's booking, Ghost Raider arrives with a strong Beckett/Kempton training statistic, and Clive The Writer already has a run under his belt for experience — each has a case, none has a clear edge.
18:50 Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
PlacedClass 4 · 1m · Standard / Slow · 14 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Gavriel (5/2)
Won by: Najidi Storm (GB) at 17/2 · then Gavriel (GB), Kaindy (IRE)
What we said: Too many unresolved layoffs stacked on top of each other to trust any price: Gavriel, Black Chiffon and Kaindy are all returning from 271-343 days off with the form-book last line untested at this fitness, while Najidi Storm and Colonnade carry their own going or trip questions on the slow surface.
19:20 Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (Div I) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
PlacedClass 3 · 1m2f219y · Standard To Slow · 12 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Dialstone (10/11)
Won by: Fortitudine (IRE) at 7/2 · then Dialstone (GB), Treble Bass (GB)
What we said: A clear-cut second on his only start puts him ahead of a field littered with unraced types and horses returning from lengthy absences, and Ralph Beckett's yard combines well with Rossa Ryan around this course. The form he already holds trumps guesswork on unexposed rivals like Fortitudine, and a state fit for a straightforward step forward suits a horse fresh off just a 36-day break.
19:50 Becky Burke Memorial Novice Stakes (Div II) (gbb/gbbplus Race)
PlacedClass 3 · 1m2f219y · Standard To Slow · 11 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Cloud Forest (5/4)
Won by: Shadow Road (IRE) at 25/1 · then Cloud Forest (GB), Dove Tale (GER)
What we said: Drops into a weaker novice field off a solid 62-rated form line and gets a booking from Oisin Murphy for a yard that has this course absolutely sussed. The step back down in grade after facing tougher company suits, and with the strongest recent run-reading of anyone here he looks the one to beat on ability alone.
20:20 Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes
PlacedClass 4 · 0m7f0y · Standard / Slow · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Angel Gabriel (10/3)
Won by: Victory Ace (GB) · then Blakefell (IRE), Angel Gabriel (IRE)
What we said: Angel Gabriel heads the market on solid Beckett course stats but the last-time run was a flat 8th, and with Captain Fox, Blakefell and Victory Ace all boasting a recent win in their last six starts, this is a shape where four or more horses can plausibly figure and nothing at the prices separates them cleanly. Victory Ace's first-time cheekpieces add a genuine unknown after a winning run, and Quadrillion's sire profile is actually mixed for this slower surface rather than a clean fit — none of it stacks into a case I'd back with my own money.
20:50 Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier)
PlacedClass 5 · 1m7f218y · Standard To Slow · 8 ran
Our bet: Desert Belle (6/4)
Won by: Captain Robert (GB) at 7/2 · then Desert Belle (GB), Roland Garros (GB)
What we said: Her recent form of 3-2-2-2 shows relentless consistency at a high level, and with Sir Mark Prescott firing at 32% this fortnight and Luke Morris up, the yard clearly has her spot on for this drop into a modest handicap. The step up to first-time cheekpieces looks like a stable adding the final touch to convert those places into a win rather than papering over a problem.
