Kempton — 10 August 2026

Class 4 · 0m7f0y · Standard To Slow · 12 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Tikka (7/2)

Won by: Tikka (GB) at 11/2 · then Rhythm Of My Heart (GB), Hidden Beyond (AUS)

What we said: Every filly here is a first-time-out debutante with no form to read, so this comes down to market money alone, and that money is split three ways between Tikka (7/2), Greta Tintin (4/1) and Hidden Beyond (5/1) with nothing in the sire-going flags or trainer figures strong enough to separate them into a bet. Alidoolally and Singing Blues drifting doesn't help either side of the case, and with no proven form-book angle on any of the twelve, this is a race to watch rather than back.

Class 4 · 0m7f0y · Standard To Slow · 12 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Tojoannie (9/2)

Won by: Tredegar Square (GB) at 16/1 · then Thespian Queen (GB), Reichenbach Falls (GB)

What we said: Twelve absolute debutants with no form lines to separate them, so this comes down to trainer/market guesswork rather than anything seen on a track; Tojoannie heads the market on residual stable strength but carries first-time headgear which is an intent signal, not a form angle, and Celtic Storm, Playfull Warrior and Thespian Queen all sit close enough in the market that nothing concrete divides them.

Class 6 · 1m0f0y · Standard To Slow · 9 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Lushill (9/2)

Won by: Magical Life (GB) · then Bollengo Boy (IRE), Ten Of Clubs (GB)

What we said: She's the only one in this field with a proven run on today's standard ground, having finished third over 7f just six days ago on that exact surface, while several rivals arrive with zero runs on it after softening conditions. Her form is progressive (5-3-2-3) and she carries genuine early speed (2.75 pace rating), giving her control of her own race from a false draw-neutral 9.

Class 5 · 1m0f0y · Standard To Slow · 14 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Fallacious Promise (3/1)

Won by: Fallacious Promise (GB) at 3/1 · then Santiago Boy (GB), Alkumatic Jo Jo (IRE)

What we said: Fourteen runners and at least four with genuine claims — Fallacious Promise's string of ins-and-outs placings (922312) and solid course/distance form, Ballybunion's sire-suited placing form and quick back-up after a recent run, Roi de Coeur improving with a clear last-time-out second, and Berkshire Boom's dist form all stack up without one horse standing clear; the market has this bunched for good reason and nothing separates them cleanly at the prices.

Class 5 · 1m2f219y · Standard To Slow · 10 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Mohaab (4/1)

Won by: Flightofthephoenix (IRE) · then Hot Silk (GB), Ghost Story (IRE)

What we said: too many fillies arrive with a genuine case and nothing at the prices truly separates them: Mohaab is unbeaten in the placings across its last three starts and drops to the bottom of the weights, Flightofthephoenix followed a seventh with a clear second, Shirakawa arrives on the back of two wins and a narrow second (though its record over this specific trip is patchy), and Ghost Story and Hot Silk have both been frame regulars without a bad run between them — that's five fillies with live claims in a ten-runner handicap.

Class 4 · 1m7f218y · Standard To Slow · 12 ran

Our bet: Believitanducan (7/4)

Won by: Senor Cortez (IRE) at 8/1 · then Maxident (GB), Believitanducan (IRE)

What we said: Three wins on the trot including a facile course-and-distance success at today's exact trip on today's exact going just 44 days ago, backed up by a near-flawless staying-distance record (1122111 over seven runs at the trip) and a handy 3lb from the claim to offset the topweight. This is a horse peaking at the right time over ground and distance it has already proven it loves, and the repeat of identical conditions from his last win is the kind of specific match that doesn't come along often.