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Home/Archive/Kilbeggan — 3 September 2026

Kilbeggan — 3 September 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

8 races · we bet 2 · we named the winner in 2

15:30 Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Maiden Hurdle (Div I)

Did not win

2m · Good · 13 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Power Of Knowledge (15/8)

Won by: First Ascent (IRE) at 11/2 · then Blue Johnl (IRE), Tomthescaffolder (GB)

What we said: The Mullins colt has never raced on good ground, which is a genuine unknown rather than a plus, and that's the only new wrinkle today — not enough to clear the bar for a favourite.

16:05 Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Maiden Hurdle (Div II)

We named the winner

2m · Good · 14 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Combs (6/4)

Won by: Combs (IRE) at 2/1F · then Goeasyonme (FR), Telegram Sam (IRE)

What we said: Combs sits on the form pick with a genuinely progressive figure (33469-) and a perfect jumping record, but at 6/4 there's no case here beyond what the market already prices in, and three others — Bud Fox, Goeasyonme and Texas Red — all carry live enough claims (a placed effort last time, a solid second on debut, a recent third) that nothing separates them cleanly at these odds. With four runners in genuine contention and no standout angle beyond the obvious form horse, this is a race to watch rather than back.

16:40 Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle

We named the winner

2m3f · Good · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Splendid Fellow (5/6)

Won by: Splendid Fellow (IRE) at 4/7F · then Rokanako (IRE), La Muleta (FR)

What we said: Splendid Fellow heads the market on solid placed form but carries two genuine cautions (no recorded run on good ground in five starts, and a 115-day break after which fillies/geldings from this stable have gone 0-1), while Rokanako (fresh from a promising second just 12 days ago) and It's All Clear (a model of consistency at 54-333) both have live claims too — with three runners this close on merit there's no single case worth backing at the price on offer.

17:15 Midland Breeders Mares Handicap Hurdle

Did not win

2m3f · Good · 18 ran

Our bet: Ivana D'alco (6/1)

Won by: Chemdawg (IRE) at 5/1F · then Larkins Lane (IRE), Bowgate Street (IRE), Demanding Gerry (IRE)

What we said: Won last time out over an extra two furlongs for Willie Mullins and drops back in trip today, a shape that should suit given the closing to that win; the mare's jumping has been faultless (2 from 2) and her recent figures read F41-61 with the placing improving each start. Brian Hayes takes over and the class looks there for this level based on that pattern of form.

17:48 SIS Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle

Placed

2m3f · Good · 11 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Tutu Twist (13/8)

Won by: Not In A Hurry (IRE) at 11/4 · then Tutu Twist (IRE), Tell Me See (IRE)

What we said: Tutu Twist owns the strongest form in the field (4233-) but has no recorded run on good ground and returns from 142 days off, Blue Trix arrives with no form line at all so there's nothing concrete to build a case on despite the money, and Not In A Hurry's single run leaves too many questions stepping up in trip — three genuine question marks and no standout at the price.

18:18 Clarke's Bar Mullingar Handicap Hurdle

Did not win

2m3f · Good · 17 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Dairy Force (11/2)

Won by: Warmer Days Ahead (FR) at 11/1 · then Blue Reed (FR), Bobby Kirova (GB)

What we said: Seventeen-runner handicap hurdle with no standout: Dairy Force fell last time out despite a solid ↕02253 sequence beforehand, Eye Contact's been racing consistently without winning, and Rockstown Girl carries a real caution back from a 65-day break, leaving too many live but flawed claims at the prices on offer.

18:48 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race

Did not win

2m3f · Good · 11 ran

Our bet: Peat Sounds (15/8)

Won by: Pat O's Rock (IRE) at 85/40F · then Bambi Fever (IRE), Tamara Jane (IRE)

What we said: Repeats today's exact conditions from a solid third-of-eight last time out, over the same trip on the same going, which gives her a clear profile fit few in this field can match. She's the one runner here whose last run translates directly onto today's test, and that consistency is worth backing at a fair price.

19:18 Jim Ryan Racecourse Services (Pro/Am) Flat Race

Did not win

2m3f · Good · 10 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Killeedy (9/4)

Won by: Call My Name (IRE) at 13/2 · then Myluckymaker (IRE)

What we said: Killeedy heads the market on a single completed start and a first-time tongue strap, which is thin proof at a trip she's never tackled, while Rememberwhat, Ifuknowuknow and Myluckymaker all cluster close behind with their own conditions questions (course form, a long layoff, no run on good) — nothing here clears the bar at the price on offer.

Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record