What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 4
1m0f30y · Good · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Celtic Motif (4/11)
Won by: Celtic Motif (IRE) at 1/5F · then Taj Crown (IRE)
What we said: Celtic Motif is a clear market leader (63% fair) but odds-on with 4/11 SP, offers no value; rest of field is unreliable long-absence maidens
1m0f30y · Good · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Tyraxes (10/3)
Won by: Wild Sapphire (IRE) at 6/4F · then Sron Na Caise (IRE)
What we said: 8-runner maiden with 4+ credible contenders (Tyraxes, Wild Sapphire, Dolly Hello, Coul Dreamer) and no runner clearly mispriced vs fair%
1m30y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Cause I Like You (5/2)
Won by: Cause I Like You (IRE) at 100/30 · then Zheleznaya Dama (USA), Beau Army (IRE)
What we said: 14-runner competitive handicap, form closely bunched across 6+ live contenders, no standout price/edge combo
1m0f30y · Good · 14 ran
We passed. Likely winner: San Aer (40/1)
Won by: Red Hugh O'Donnell at 33/1 · then Mythical Rock (IRE), No More Porter (IRE)
What we said: 15-runner competitive handicap, favourite Elusive Duke short at 15/8 despite modest 68 rating, too many with legit claims (San Aer, No More Porter, Tofino, Spent All Me Money)
1m3f88y · Good · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Spanish Temptress (5/1)
Won by: Saga Gaga (IRE) at 3/1 · then Spanish Temptress (IRE), Ankara (FR)
What we said: 10-runner handicap with 4+ fillies (Spanish Temptress, Diamond Exchange, Jeaniemacaroney, So Must I) on near-identical figures, no runner shows genuine value vs fair%
2m185y · Good · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Gaoth Chuil (2/1)
Won by: Gaoth Chuil (IRE) at 15/8F · then Tribal Star (IRE)
What we said: 8-runner handicap with 5-6 runners on tightly clustered form/figures (95-90-84 range) and no single overlay compelling enough to isolate a winner
1m6f55y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Eagle Fang (10/11)
Won by: Eagle Fang (IRE) at 15/8F · then Sunny South West (IRE), Path D'oroux (FR)
What we said: 13-runner maiden with a short favourite (Eagle Fang, fair 40%) offering no price value, and no other runner stands out with a genuine edge
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
