What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
1m0f40y · 14 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Land Of The Giants (10/3)
Won by: Minaun View (GB) at 3/1F · then Timandi (IRE), Go Out (FR)
What we said: 14-runner optional claiming handicap with mixed form across 5+ realistic contenders, no reliable pace/draw angle
1m0f40y · Good · 5 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Celtic Moon
Won by: Venetian Power (IRE) at 9/2 · then Full Volume (FR)
What we said: Steamer (40% shorter) plus genuine bookie overlay vs exchange, backed by a facile last-time-out win over course distance
1m0f40y · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Transcript (13/8)
Won by: Kalir (IRE) at 3/1 · then Cello Sonata (GB), Elusive Path (IRE)
What we said: favourite Transcript looks the clear best horse but is already over-bet vs fair odds (implied ~38% vs fair 32%), no value at this price in a wide-open maiden
Class 1 · 1m0f40y · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Green Carrera (9/4)
Won by: Meriden (GB) at 11/2 · then Green Carrera (GB), Sky Watch (IRE)
What we said: 12-runner Listed sprint/mile with several legitimate contenders (Green Carrera, Cromac Quay, Meriden, Pivotal Attack) and no runner showing a genuine price edge vs fair%
1m40y · Good · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Bella Colombia (4/1)
Won by: Bella Colombia (IRE) at 85/40F · then Jasmine Affanalis (IRE), Pete's Dream (IRE)
What we said: 13-runner competitive handicap, form scattered across many plausible types, first-time headgear and long layoffs add noise with no dominant angle
1m3f103y · 15 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Alto Sax (7/2)
Won by: Arch Enemy (IRE) at 3/1F · then Limestone Red (IRE), Tassarolo (GB)
What we said: 15-runner handicap with 4+ credible claims (Arch Enemy top weight, Alto Sax in-form, Young Churchill fair form/course angle, Kevin The Great), no standout price edge
1m6f80y · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Baila Conmigo (6/1)
Won by: Loyal Touch (IRE) at 17/2 · then Celestially (IRE), Coulstys Way (IRE)
What we said: 14-runner low-grade handicap with several in-form contenders (Baila Conmigo, Jurality, Sonic Invader, Lagoon Nebula) and no standout price value beyond normal margin effects
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
