What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
6 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 2
Class 4 · 0m5f0y · Good To Firm · 4 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Star Velocity (1/4)
Won by: Star Velocity (GB) at 1/10F
What we said: 4-runner race dominated by a 1/4 favourite already priced at fair odds, no value gap to exploit
Class 6 · 1m0f53y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Lope Y Linda (4/1)
Won by: Buckland Belle (GB) at 4/9F · then Ivat Ghia (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 5 · 1m3f179y · Good To Firm · 3 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Liveinthelight (10/11)
Won by: Liveinthelight (GB) at 5/4
What we said: clear formline (won LTO, progressive) plus a genuine going edge (Dubawi damsire thrives on quick ground) that her rivals lack, in a small 4-runner field
Class 6 · 1m2f0y · Good To Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Typeface (10/3)
Won by: Clipsham Noble (IRE) at 13/2 · then Ricardo Phillips (GB)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 4 · 0m6f0y · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Cotai Belle (7/2)
Won by: Miss Nightcap (GB) at 5/2 · then Cotai Belle (IRE)
What we said: Rated a clear 96 to the field's next-best 85 with three unlucky seconds, priced at 7/2 (fair ~21%) despite being the standout on figures, and drawn neutrally rather than badly.
Class 6 · 0m6f0y · Good To Firm · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: The Tunguska Event (5/2)
Won by: Crafty Blue (IRE) at 6/1 · then Maximum Velocity (IRE), Apex Star (IRE)
What we said: four-plus runners (Tunguska, Apex Star, Maximum Velocity, Pimentel) have genuine form claims and the favourite's price already reflects his edge, no standout value
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
