What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 3
6f150y · Firm · 11 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Morehampton (6/1)
Won by: Dancing Saxon (IRE) · then Inishfallen (IRE), Clonmacash (GB)
What we said: Huge market steamer (13.0→7.0) backs up his second-highest rating, fast-ground sire/damsire profile, and in-form trainer (JP Murtagh 21%) at a course he handles well
6f150y · Firm · 14 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Rappell (15/8)
Won by: Rappell (IRE) · then El Fontenaro (IRE), Whatswrongnow (IRE)
What we said: 17-runner low-grade handicap, no dominant angle: Rappell steamer is notable but at 2.9 against 25% fair is short for a horse with no top-5 finish in 6 starts
6f150y · Firm · 14 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Baby Basma (9/1)
Won by: Glen Breeze (IRE) · then Princess Chloe (IRE), Dawn Flame (GB)
What we said: 15-runner low-grade handicap sprint, no proven front-runner or standout figure, multiple fitness question marks (79/134/282d absences) muddy the picture
1m50y · Firm · 6 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Al Haarith (1/6)
Won by: Al Haarith (IRE) · then I Got To Go (IRE)
What we said: Al Haarith is a strong favourite (fair 73%) at a short price with no value, and the market steamer (I Got To Go) is unproven from a maiden 0 form line
1m4f65y · Firm · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Nellcote (11/4)
Won by: Nellcote (IRE) · then Stellar Moment (IRE), Miss Romagna (IRE)
What we said: competitive 9-runner fillies maiden with 4+ legitimate contenders (Nellcote, Stellar Moment, Miss Romagna, Mawhibah) and no runner showing genuine value vs fair%
1m4f65y · Firm · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Deluca Chop (10/3)
Won by: Magna Gee Gee (IRE) at 11/2 · then Without Love (GB), Young Churchill (IRE)
What we said: 14-runner apprentice handicap with 4+ legitimate form claims (Deluca Chop, Without Love, Metamorpheus, God Of Thunder) and no runner's price clearly overlaid against a genuine edge
1m4f65y · Good · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Hassaniya (5/1)
Won by: Themis (IRE) · then Maxminelli (IRE)
What we said: RP's figures rate him 11lb clear of this field (PR86) and he carries a genuine bookie overlay (+1.5 vs exchange), making the 6/1 price an edge worth taking
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
