Lingfield — 22 July 2026

Class 5 · 1m2f0y · Good To Firm · 4 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Emma's Letter (3/1)

Won by: Almekarem (IRE) at 13/2

What we said: 4-runner handicap with ratings separated by just 2lb (RP verdict "medium confidence"), favourite short at 6/5 and no runner clearly overpriced against a fair read

Class 6 · 2m0f68y · Good To Firm · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Lucky Sevens (11/10)

Won by: The Craftymaster (GB) at 5/1 · then Fram Castle (IRE)

What we said: small competitive handicap with three credible cases (Craftymaster's weight concern vs Lucky Sevens' short price vs Tiny Riot's going/draw edge), no runner clearly beats its fair%

Class 6 · 0m4f217y · Good To Firm · 7 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Romidijo (11/4)

Won by: Miss Moneypit (GB) at 9/4F · then Romidijo (GB)

What we said: three-way form file (Sable Island, Romidijo, Miss Moneypit) with no runner priced clearly above my read of its true chance

Class 4 · 0m6f0y · Good To Firm · 3 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Asuka (1/25)

Won by: Asuka (GB) at 1/50F

What we said: clear market leader with solid form (1/2) at short odds vs two much bigger-priced rivals with weak/unproven form

Class 5 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Hilltop (7/2)

Won by: Wetsand (IRE) at 6/1 · then Bella Bisbee (GB), Stormy Music (GB)

What we said: Tightly bunched 8-runner handicap with 4+ live claims (Hilltop, Wetsand, Kaori, Bella Bisbee) and no runner priced clearly above my own read

Class 6 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 12 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Zaltalla (3/1)

Won by: Creciente (GB) at 11/2 · then Rovinia (GB), Zaltalla (FR)

What we said: 12-runner Class 6 handicap with 4+ credible types (Rovinia, Creciente, Oh So Audacious, Zaltalla, Electrocution) and no runner priced clearly above my read of its chance