What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
Class 4 · 2m4f139y · Good · 6 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Loriko (5/6)
Won by: Master Haku (IRE) · then Loriko (FR)
What we said: Skelton yard in flying form, clear class edge with form figures 262-11, and fair odds of evens still leaves room at a general 21/20 quote
Class 2 · 2m0f125y · Good · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Newtown Rambler (17/2)
Won by: High Fibre (IRE) at 7/2 · then Indemnity (IRE), Squeezebox (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
Class 1 · 2m5f89y · Good · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Kingston Narcissus (4/1)
Won by: Queensbury Boy (IRE) at 15/2 · then Kingston Narcissus (FR), Breizh River (FR)
What we said: 13-runner Premier Handicap chase with 5+ genuine contenders (Mahons Glory, Soul Icon, Kingston Narcissus, Breizh River, Riaan) and no single price stands out enough vs FAIR% to justify a play
Class 4 · 2m0f125y · Good · 4 ran
We passed. Likely winner: No More Bolero (13/8)
Won by: No More Bolero (GB) at 11/8
What we said: 4-runner handicap where the two market leaders (Hello Sweety, No More Bolero) are both priced essentially at their fair odds, so form edge exists but no price value
Class 5 · 2m1f43y · Good · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Dream Jet (9/1)
Won by: Mr Mcwhinny (IRE) at 6/4F · then Huit Reflets (FR), Prospect House (IRE)
What we said: 8-runner handicap with 4+ horses (Catchim, Dream Jet, Most Wanted, Prospect House) holding legitimate claims and conflicting market moves (Catchim/Most Wanted/Prospect House drifting while Dream Jet/Sledgehammer steam) — no single runner's price compensates for the uncertainty
Class 4 · 2m7f191y · Good · 7 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Yes Day (5/1)
Won by: Giovanni Change (FR) at 7/1 · then Yes Day (IRE)
What we said: 7-runner handicap with 4+ credible form claims (Special John, Yes Day, Giovanni Change, Redbridge Rambler), no runner's price beats its fair% meaningfully
Class 4 · 2m4f139y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Prince Quattro (11/2)
Won by: Oneinthewell (IRE) · then Nottodaybobo (IRE), Prince Quattro (IRE)
What we said: 12-runner competitive handicap hurdle with 6+ horses (Prince Quattro, Belvedere Blast, Ballygeary, Twist Of Fatecatch, Oneinthewell, Modern Style) all carrying legitimate form claims and no single overlay standing out enough to overcome that spread
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
