14:15 Irish EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
We named the winnerClass 4 · 0m5f1y · Good · 8 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: The Mean Fiddler (2/5)
Won by: The Mean Fiddler (IRE) at 1/3F · then By Jove Grace (IRE), Sable Noir (IRE)
What we said: Unbeaten in defeat with a pair of solid placed efforts already on the board, the runner-up form reads well for a maiden of this class and the step up in experience should tell against this largely untested field. Jason Hart takes over and the market has kept faith at a short price, reflecting a clear form advantage over a field with little to challenge it.
14:45 National Racehorse Week Nursery Handicap Stakes
We named the winnerClass 6 · 1m0f2y · Good · 7 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Forest Berry (8/11)
Won by: Forest Berry (GB) at 4/5F · then Astral Calling (IRE)
What we said: Top-rated in the field by a distance (PR79 vs low-60s/high-60s elsewhere) and arrives in career-best form having won last time out from a string of progressive efforts, with the first-time hood a sensible tweak to sharpen a filly who's already racing well. The extra weight is fully justified by the rating gap, and Prescott's yard has her fit and firing off a quick 7-day turnaround.
15:15 'Celebrating Veteran Armed Forces' Selling Handicap Stakes
Did not winClass 5 · 1m0f208y · Good · 11 ran
Our bet: Yermanthere (9/2)
Won by: Runninsonofagun (IRE) at 9/4F · then Motawaared (GB), Princess Niyla (GB)
What we said: Comes into this on the back of a win and two seconds (-05122), the strongest closing form in the field, and carries the highest rating here despite the 5lb apprentice claim easing the workload. Tim Easterby's stable have a modest but consistent record at this course, and the recent upward trajectory in form outweighs the top-weight concern.
15:45 Ina And Ella MacGregor Handicap Stakes
PlacedClass 4 · 0m7f15y · Good · 10 ran
Our bet: Blakefell (5/2)
Won by: Two Commanders (GB) at 3/1 · then Blakefell (IRE), Velvet Rhythm (GB)
What we said: Sitting on a rock-solid recent sequence (2-1632) with a perfect course record of 213 from three starts here, this gelding also holds the best form figure (PR88) of any realistic contender and steps back to today's trip fresh off a close second 19 days ago. The good ground raises no red flags for him, unlike market rival Two Commanders who has never raced on this surface.
16:15 Ocean Scotland Outdoor Advertising Handicap Stakes
Did not winClass 6 · 0m5f1y · Good · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: So Grateful (2/1)
Won by: Lady Bouquet (GB) at 9/1 · then Ski Angel (GB), Gwen Tennyson (IRE)
What we said: So Grateful heads the market on the strength of three straight runner-up finishes, but a horse that keeps getting beaten into second without visibly finding more gears offers no fresh reason to back him just because he's favourite, and nothing else in this weak Class 6 field — not Wee Mary's stale course form, not Sixcor's inconsistent line, not the big-priced outsiders — clears the bar at their prices.
16:45 Watch On Racing TV Handicap Stakes
We named the winnerClass 6 · 1m0f2y · Good · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Misemerald (7/2)
Won by: Misemerald (IRE) at 3/1F · then Abu Royal (IRE), Thats My Boy Luke (GB)
What we said: Thirteen go to post in a bottom-rung handicap where Misemerald, Hostelry, Approaching Dawn and Due Respect all carry live recent-form claims and nothing separates them cleanly at the prices, and this system's Musselburgh record (2 from 18) argues for extra caution rather than forcing a view. Hostelry's return to winning form and course experience is tempting but not decisively better than the favourite's; a 13-runner Class 6 with this much bunched form is the definition of a pass.
