What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 2
0m5f205y · Good · 18 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Man's Best Friend (15/8)
Won by: Man's Best Friend (IRE) at 2/1 · then Zoar (USA), New Bond Street (GB)
What we said: 18-runner 2yo maiden with market split almost evenly between two lightly-raced types (New Bond Street/Man's Best Friend), no reliable draw or pace read at this trip
0m5f205y · Good · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Flaming Rib (6/1)
Won by: Gotta Catch'em All (IRE) at 7/1 · then I Bid You Ajou (FR), Mint Man (GB)
What we said: 10-runner competitive handicap with 4+ live claims (Flaming Rib, Bad Boy Rizz, Four Blondes, I Bid You Ajou) and no runner's price clearly beats my read of its chance
Class 1 · 0m5f0y · Good · 9 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Shimmering Sun (5/2)
Won by: Big Negotiator (GB) at 11/1 · then Shimmering Sun (IRE), Belle Of The Ball (IRE)
What we said: Concorde Landed is a short-priced favourite (46% fair) built on a single-run rating, but Shimmering Sun, Big Negotiator and Belle Of The Ball all bring deeper, more consistent form — too many legitimate claims to back the favourite or find true value elsewhere
Class 1 · 0m5f205y · Good · 15 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Soul Love (7/4)
Won by: Soul Love (GB) at 11/8F · then Dancing Saxon (IRE), Fregada (IRE)
What we said: self-consistency reruns didn't converge on the original pick
1m0f0y · Good · 18 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Perfect Judgement (4/1)
Won by: Dinamine (IRE) at 17/2 · then Famous Enough (IRE), Mullacash Buzz (IRE), Duchess Anne (IRE)
What we said: 18-runner apprentice handicap, wide-open with 4+ live claims (Perfect Judgement, Convincing, Slaney Swagger, Mehmar) and no price offering clear value against my read
0m7f0y · Good · 8 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Watch Tower (9/4)
Won by: Eddie G (IRE) at 18/1 · then Spodo Komodo (GB), Barbapapa (IRE)
What we said: 8-runner handicap with 4-5 horses (Watch Tower, Contrary To Law, Barbapapa, Thenandnow, Little Empire) all rating within a few pounds and no price standing out as clearly wrong vs fair%
0m7f0y · Good · 3 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Phenomenal Filly (11/10)
Won by: Suzie Songs (IRE) at 2/1
What we said: 3-runner field with three legitimately competitive horses (96-100 rated) all priced near their fair odds, no genuine value gap
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
