What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
5f180y · Good · 17 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Arrowstock (3/1)
Won by: Shesthedevil (IRE) at 22/1 · then The Pipeman (IRE), Revelator (IRE)
What we said: 18-runner 2yo maiden sprint, draw chaos, form lines too thin to trust any single runner
5f180y · Good · 13 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Institute (5/2)
Won by: Cool Azul (IRE) at 7/2 · then Forza Magico (GB), Trek Home (IRE)
What we said: 14-runner maiden sprint with several plausible types (Institute, Trek Home, Hasita, Forza Magico) and no price standing out as overlaid enough to trust
5f180y · Good · 15 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Poweracclaim (7/2)
Won by: Gotta Catch'em All (IRE) at 9/1 · then Coincidental Glory (IRE), Poweracclaim (IRE)
What we said: 16-runner competitive handicap sprint, wide-open with 4+ legit contenders (Thurso, Poweracclaim, Coincidental Glory, Elly Bay) and no standout price value
5f · Good · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: White Smoke (12/1)
Won by: Another Nice'day (IRE) at 17/2 · then Amerilis (GB), Cashel Blue (IRE)
What we said: 10-runner sprint handicap with 5+ legitimate form contenders (All Hail, Right One, White Smoke, Amerilis, Boston Max) and no single overlay flag strong enough to isolate an edge
1m2f40y · Good · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: South Island (10/3)
Won by: South Island (IRE) at 2/1 · then Summer Is Tomorrow (IRE)
What we said: 5-runner race with top two (South Island 94, Summer Is Tomorrow 92) rated a whisker apart and RP itself flags "low confidence"; no price stands out as clear value once fair% is weighed against form
1m2f40y · Good · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Genoah (9/4)
Won by: Admiral Will Brown (GB) at 10/1 · then Letiza (IRE), Felix Somary (IRE)
What we said: 11-runner handicap with Genoah rated clear top-pick but priced below fair (implied 31% vs fair 25%), and no other runner shows a genuine edge despite overlay flags on Beauparc/Lady Chartwell being marginal
1m2f40y · Good · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Cleopatra's Needle (11/4)
Won by: Arch Enemy (IRE) · then Copper Craft (IRE), Thegooseiscooked (IRE)
What we said: 14-runner competitive handicap with 5+ horses (Arch Enemy, Autocrat, Trishuli River, Rising Sky, Cleopatra's Needle) holding legitimate claims, no single overlay clearly stands out
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
