17:17 BetVictor 100/1 On England Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)
PlacedClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Wateera (13/8)
Won by: Arabica Queen (GB) at 8/1 · then Big Hitter (IRE), Wateera (IRE)
What we said: comfortable debut winner with more in reserve, sire excels on fast ground, K R Burke's 14d strike rate stands out and Clifford Lee is a hot jockey (1/2 in 30d, Burke/Lee combo hits 16% at 5x sample)
17:50 BetVictor 100/1 On England Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Did not winClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Chilli (7/4)
Won by: Yahaira (IRE) at 22/1 · then Greek Symphony (GB), Global Success (IRE)
What we said: Harry Angel on fast ground is a genuine sire angle, 6f suits better than debut 5f, and Johnson Houghton's Ascot record adds a trainer edge; fourth debut run leaves clear upside
18:25 Darley EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
We named the winnerClass 2 · 7f · Good To Firm · 5 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Bayside View (4/7)
Won by: Bayside View (IRE) · then Anad (IRE)
What we said: clear form pick in a small field, handles 7f on good-to-firm, Oisin Murphy booking confirms intent, and the a/e figures at course support the jockey
19:00 Venture Security Handicap
Did not winClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran
Our bet: Creative Queen (5/2)
Won by: Bami (IRE) at 33/1 · then Documenting (GB), Ararat (IRE)
What we said: Haggas/Marquand combo at 22% course strike-rate, trainer firing at 18% in last 14d, and recent Yarmouth blinkers win confirmed when runner-up scored next time
20:05 Pump Technology Performance Under Pressure Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
We named the winnerClass 4 · 2m · Good To Firm · 3 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Baileys Khelstar (7/4)
Won by: Baileys Khelstar (FR)
What we said: consistent placed form at 2m, Oisin Murphy booking on a small field where hold-up tactics suit, and C Johnston 14d form supports a live chance at the distance
20:35 Racehorse Ownership From 25 At racingclub.com Apprentice Handicap
We named the winnerClass 5 · 1m3f · Good To Firm · 9 ran
Our bet: Redbud Sixteen (5/2)
Won by: Redbud Sixteen (IRE) at 5/2 · then Raintown (IRE), Shady Bay (IRE)
What we said: won comfortably at Salisbury 9 days ago off a lower mark, versatile conditions/trip, and trainer in 14d form at 20%