What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
6 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 1
Class 3 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 12 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Force Of Light (7/4)
Won by: Fuel The Jet (IRE) at 9/2 · then Cilician (IRE), Rafe's da Man (GB)
What we said: 12-runner novice with a strong favourite (Force Of Light 7/4, fair 33%) but no price edge or angle to oppose it
Class 4 · 0m6f0y · Good To Firm · 11 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Faith In Florence (11/8)
Won by: Al Samsama (IRE) at 11/1 · then Faith In Florence (IRE), Next Of Kin (GB)
What we said: 11-runner 2yo maiden fillies, favourite Faith In Florence already shorter than its own fair%, no runner shows genuine value
Class 1 · 0m6f0y · Good To Firm · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: A Bear Affair (12/1)
Won by: Arapaho Gold (IRE) at 4/1 · then Nabati (IRE), Agamemnon (GB)
What we said: 4+ legit contenders (A Bear Affair, Social Symbol, Arapaho Gold, Agamemnon) with no single price standing out as true value against fair odds
Class 5 · 1m0f0y · Good To Firm · 10 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Luminare (5/1)
Won by: Accademia (GB) at 3/1F · then Luminare (IRE), Lightning Glory (IRE)
What we said: 10-runner handicap with 4+ live contenders (Luminare, Starlight Sami, Areti, Accademia) and no runner offering value against its fair odds
Class 4 · 1m5f61y · Good To Firm · 3 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Green Sky (10/11)
Won by: Green Sky (IRE) at 8/13F
What we said: Back-to-back wins, quick to back up in 7 days, proven at this trip, and clearly best on figures in a small field
Class 4 · 1m3f · Good To Firm · 5 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Cloth Of Gold (13/2)
Won by: Devil's Peak (GB) at 3/1 · then Turty Tree (IRE)
What we said: 5-runner Class 4 handicap with 4 legitimate contenders on close figures; Turty Tree's steamer is offset by an unfavourable going/sire flag, no clear price overlay elsewhere
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
