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Home/Archive/Newbury — 15 August 2026

Newbury — 15 August 2026

What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.

7 races · we bet 0 · we named the winner in 0

13:25 Highclere Thoroughbred Racing Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3)

Did not win

Class 1 · 1m5f61y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Mount Atlas (4/1)

Won by: Wine Dark Sea (GB) at 7/2 · then Tabletalk (IRE)

What we said: Won last time out over this exact trip and going (14f, good to firm) just 35 days ago, and the form line 4-2231 shows a gelding still working through the handicap in the right direction under a stable jockey who knows him well. He arrives fresh off a solid effort with no fitness or ground question marks hanging over him, unlike the market leaders in this smaller field.

13:55 D&H, Excellence In Nutrition Handicap Stakes

Did not win

Class 3 · 0m5f34y · Good To Firm · 13 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Kinswoman (7/2)

Won by: Rhythm N Hooves (GB) at 7/2F · then Hypnotised (GB), Hucklesbrook (GB)

What we said: the write-up made a claim the racecard does not support, so this pick was withheld

14:35 TPT Fire Handicap Stakes

Placed

Class 2 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 8 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Scoville (9/4)

Won by: Addison Grey (GB) at 9/2 · then Havana Pusey (GB), Scoville (GB)

What we said: Drops back to the trip that suits on breeding (Too Darn Hot form best on fast/good ground) after a below-form run at the longer 8f, and William Haggas has the yard working well with Tom Marquand booked to ride. He's the classiest form on offer here (PR 103) and the closer trip should let that speed figure translate into the winning post rather than fade late as it did last time.

15:10 Visit Malta Hungerford Stakes (Group 2)

Did not win

Class 1 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 9 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Never So Brave (10/3)

Won by: Coppull (GB) at 15/2 · then Prince Of India (IRE), Symbol Of Honour (GB)

What we said: This Hungerford cuts up as a genuine free-for-all: Symbol Of Honour arrives on the back of a course win but has never really fired over today's 7f trip (2-4-6-8 there), Never So Brave looks the more proven stayer at the distance but is only fractionally interesting at his price, and Coppull, Extremely Zain and Witness Stand all carry live form claims of their own with nothing clean enough to split them. With five runners realistically able to win and no single angle that isolates one horse above the market's own view, this is a watch-and-learn Group 2 rather than a bet.

15:42 Darley EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Did not win

Class 2 · 0m7f0y · Good To Firm · 13 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Mosheer (5/2)

Won by: Gambling Man (IRE) at 5/1 · then Mister Whippy (USA), Silent Force (IRE)

What we said: Unraced but sent off a clear market leader in a wide-open 13-runner field, with the Iffraaj damsire line flagged to excel on this quick ground, and the gap between his fair chance and the rest of this maiden pack is the widest in the race. Owen Burrows' yard doesn't need to run one twice to find a well-bred colt fit to win first time out, and this looks the type.

16:20 Swings & Smiles Supported By Ap&c Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Placed

Class 4 · 1m4f0y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

We passed. Likely winner: Masterinthewoods (9/4)

Won by: Explode (FR) at 6/1 · then Masterinthewoods (IRE)

What we said: Masterinthewoods heads a tightly stacked market on solid distance form (22122) but trades almost exactly to that fair chance, and both Tryfan (course/distance/going winner last time, cheekpieces added) and Great Bedwyn (top-rated on PR, stepping up in trip with a favourable going pedigree flag) sit at genuinely similar prices with nothing decisive separating the three of them. With three fancied runners all fairly priced and no standout angle on any of them, there's no honest edge to back here.

16:55 Get Following BetVictor On Instagram Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Did not win

Class 3 · 1m2f0y · Good To Firm · 6 ran

Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Golden Knight (5/2)

Won by: Runman (GB) at 3/1

What we said: Won last time out over today's exact trip and going at Newbury, and carries the best recent figures in the field with a PR of 100 and a 91% Speed Rating, form that looks solid for this class. The sire's normal aversion to firm ground already got beaten by this horse's own last run on good to firm, so that worry looks answered rather than theoretical.

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