What we said before each race, and what won. Published that morning at 8am and never edited.
8 races · we bet 2 · we named the winner in 1
Class 6 · 1m2f42y · Standard / Slow · 13 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Token Love (7/2)
Won by: Bearwith (GB) · then Sweet Kiss (GB), Token Love (FR)
What we said: clear market steamer at 7/2, favourite, quick backup run 8 days ago and been placed twice recently, highest fair% in the field
Class 4 · 1m4f98y · Standard / Slow · 13 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Tripoli Flyer (11/4)
Won by: Glory Road (GER) at 6/4F · then Ruby Wedding (GB), Eniac (IRE)
What we said: Won last time out, proven at this trip/going, and the market favourite Glory Road relies on a sire (Too Darn Hot) that prefers fast/good ground, not today's Standard/Slow.
Class 4 · 0m6f0y · Standard / Slow · 14 ran
Our bet: Mirzimaan (9/4)
Won by: Asander (GB) at 50/1 · then Mirzimaan (IRE), Mollisha (IRE)
What we said: clear market leader at 9/4 with proven form (won last time out), best trainer/jockey combo stats, and no specific vulnerability like draw or going issue.
Class 4 · 1m0f5y · Standard / Slow · 14 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Zatsgood (3/1)
Won by: Victory Ace (GB) at 14/1 · then Zatsgood (GB), On The River (GB)
What we said: Clear market favourite with solid recent form (third last time out, in-form yard at 29%) and course/distance experience
Class 4 · 1m5y · Standard / Slow · 14 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Fantastic Fox (4/1)
Won by: Fantastic Fox (GB) at 100/30 · then Mr Mistoffelees (IRE), Chuzzlewit (GB)
What we said: tops the RP figures at 93, proven over today's trip/going, and steaming in from 6.5 to 5.0/4/1 as the clear market leader.
Class 6 · 1m0f5y · Standard / Slow · 12 ran
Our bet: Adelaide Bay (15/8)
Won by: Defence Missile (IRE) at 22/1 · then Mercurius Power (IRE), Pebble Dash (IRE)
What we said: clear market steamer (5.5→2.9) with a strong course A/E trainer/jockey combo, quick 11-day turnaround, and consistent placing form at this trip
Class 6 · 0m5f0y · Standard / Slow · 10 ran
Not a bet. The horse we made most likely: Ellie's de Vega (9/4)
Won by: Too Much (GB) at 7/2 · then Ellie's De Vega (GB), Let's Go Hugo (IRE)
What we said: Clear market leader with strongest recent form (334335), steaming in from 5.0 to 3.3, and first-time blinkers add a genuine improvement angle on a horse already consistently placed.
Class 6 · 0m7f14y · Standard / Slow · 14 ran
We passed. Likely winner: Filey Beach (7/2)
Won by: Trais Fluors (GB) at 11/1 · then Timebar (GB), I Can Boogy (GB)
What we said: self-consistency reruns converged on a different horse than the original pick
Outcomes on this page are read from the official result, not from our own settlement records. How we measure ourselves · The full record
